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Troon FC vs Largs Thistle - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

Lowland League
Sat, Oct 31, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Troon FC host Largs Thistle in the Lowland League. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Largs Thistle have shipped 1 goals a game lately, while Troon FC have conceded 1.93 and scored 1.86. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. xG projections (1.63 - 1.56) back Largs Thistle to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Troon FC
15%
Draws
53%
Largs Thistle
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Largs Thistle

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Troon FC haven't matched Largs Thistle's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Troon FC Clean Sheet 15%
Largs Thistle Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Troon FC Largs Thistle
Matches Played 14 13
Wins 6 8
Draws 1 2
Losses 7 3
Goals Scored 1.86 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.93 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Troon FC 30 / 100
Largs Thistle 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Troon FC Largs Thistle

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Troon FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Troon FC found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (14 games).

Largs Thistle's defensive record shows goals conceded in 46% of 13 matches.

Troon FC went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Largs Thistle's recent record shows 1 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Troon FC VS Largs Thistle
1.75 Goals Scored 1
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Troon FC

(Home)
17 Oct
Albion Rovers
1 : 2
Troon FC
03 Oct
Deveronvale
2 : 3
Troon FC
26 Sept
Troon FC
2 : 4
Kilwinning Rangers
23 Sept
Cumnock Juniors
4 : 0
Troon FC
16 Sept
Troon FC
1 : 2
Johnstone Burgh
Page 1 of 3

Largs Thistle

(Away)
20 Oct
Largs Thistle
1 : 3
Pollok
03 Oct
Gala Fairydean Rovers
0 : 1
Largs Thistle
26 Sept
Beith
1 : 1
Largs Thistle
23 Sept
Largs Thistle
1 : 0
Johnstone Burgh
16 Sept
Auchinleck Talbot
0 : 1
Largs Thistle
Page 1 of 3

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tranent FC 11 8 2 1 19:10 26
2 Linlithgow Rose 11 8 1 2 30:12 25
3 Hill Of Beath 11 8 1 2 17:12 25
4 Broxburn Athletic 11 7 3 1 16:9 24
5 Brechin 10 7 1 2 21:13 22
6 Lochee United 11 6 2 3 25:16 20
7 Bonnyrigg Rose 10 6 1 3 25:11 19
8 Civil Service Strollers 11 5 2 4 19:19 17
9 Boness United 11 5 1 5 20:23 16
10 East Stirlingshire 11 3 2 6 17:24 11
11 Cowdenbeath 10 3 1 6 15:17 10
12 Musselburgh 11 2 4 5 10:15 10
13 Gala Fairydean Rovers 10 2 0 8 14:23 6
14 Berwick 10 1 2 7 9:18 5
15 Dunipace 10 1 1 8 7:25 4
16 Stirling University 11 1 0 10 12:29 3
Promotion - League Two (Relegation - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kilwinning Rangers 12 10 0 2 39:15 30
2 Pollok 11 8 2 1 29:14 26
3 Clydebank FC 10 7 2 1 34:18 23
4 Largs Thistle 12 7 2 3 16:13 23
5 Auchinleck Talbot 11 7 1 3 35:12 22
6 Caledonian Braves 11 7 1 3 32:21 22
7 Johnstone Burgh 11 5 4 2 24:18 19
8 Celtic B 11 5 2 4 28:20 17
9 Cumnock Juniors 11 5 2 4 26:20 17
10 Troon FC 12 5 0 7 22:24 15
11 Cumbernauld Colts 11 3 4 4 25:25 13
12 Gretna 2008 12 3 2 7 27:35 11
13 Renfrew 11 3 1 7 20:30 10
14 Beith 12 2 3 7 14:30 9
15 Albion Rovers 11 2 2 7 11:23 8
16 Newton Stewart 10 1 1 8 11:42 4
17 Dalbeattie Star 11 0 1 10 6:39 1
Promotion - League Two (Relegation - Play Offs)