Sport Picks
Match Events
23'
23'
Cook A.
51'
51'
Armour B.
Assist: Gilroy K.
59'
59'
Guthrie M.
Assist: Viviani D.
AI Match Summary
The Lowland League game between Troon FC and Renfrew finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Troon FC.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
34%
15%
51%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Renfrew
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Troon FC carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
- Regular Lowland League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
Troon FC Clean Sheet 13%
Renfrew Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Troon FC | Renfrew |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 13 | 11 |
| Wins | 5 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 7 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.85 | 1.91 |
| Goals Conceded | 2 | 2.82 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.50 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 19, 2026 Lowland League
Troon FC vs Renfrew
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Troon FC Compare
Top Goalscorer Armour B.
1 Goals Assists Leader Guthrie M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25
Renfrew Compare
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Troon FC 35 / 100
Renfrew 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Troon FC Renfrew
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Renfrew Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Renfrew has conceded goals in 91% of their last 11 outings.
Attacking prowess: Troon FC scored in 77% of their last 13 outings.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Troon FC went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Troon FC VS Renfrew
2.25 Goals Scored 1.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.75
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
Troon FC
(Home) 03 Oct
Deveronvale
2 : 3 Troon FC
26 Sept
Troon FC
2 : 4 Kilwinning Rangers
23 Sept
Cumnock Juniors
4 : 0 Troon FC
16 Sept
Troon FC
1 : 2 Johnstone Burgh
12 Sept
Newton Stewart
1 : 5 Troon FC
Page 1 of 3
26 Sept
Troon FC
2 : 4 Kilwinning Rangers
16 Sept
Troon FC
1 : 2 Johnstone Burgh
29 Aug
Troon FC
1 : 3 Cumbernauld Colts
19 Aug
Troon FC
2 : 0 Renfrew
01 Aug
Troon FC
4 : 1 Gretna 2008
Page 1 of 2
Renfrew
(Away) 03 Oct
Renfrew
3 : 2 Broxburn Athletic
26 Sept
Johnstone Burgh
3 : 2 Renfrew
23 Sept
Renfrew
3 : 0 Beith
16 Sept
Pollok
1 : 3 Renfrew
29 Aug
Renfrew
1 : 5 Clydebank FC
Page 1 of 3
26 Sept
Johnstone Burgh
3 : 2 Renfrew
16 Sept
Pollok
1 : 3 Renfrew
19 Aug
Troon FC
2 : 0 Renfrew
01 Aug
Cumbernauld Colts
2 : 2 Renfrew
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tranent FC | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 18:5 | 25 |
| 2 | Linlithgow Rose | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 29:12 | 22 |
| 3 | Brechin | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 20:10 | 22 |
| 4 | Broxburn Athletic | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 15:8 | 22 |
| 5 | Hill Of Beath | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 15:11 | 22 |
| 6 | Bonnyrigg Rose | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 23:9 | 18 |
| 7 | Lochee United | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 21:16 | 17 |
| 8 | Civil Service Strollers | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 16:16 | 16 |
| 9 | Boness United | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 17:22 | 13 |
| 10 | East Stirlingshire | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 14:21 | 10 |
| 11 | Cowdenbeath | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 13:15 | 9 |
| 12 | Musselburgh | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10:15 | 9 |
| 13 | Berwick | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9:17 | 5 |
| 14 | Dunipace | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6:20 | 4 |
| 15 | Gala Fairydean Rovers | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 9:22 | 3 |
| 16 | Stirling University | 10 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 11:27 | 3 |
Promotion - League Two (Relegation - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kilwinning Rangers | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 35:15 | 27 |
| 2 | Pollok | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 26:13 | 23 |
| 3 | Largs Thistle | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 15:10 | 23 |
| 4 | Auchinleck Talbot | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 35:12 | 22 |
| 5 | Clydebank FC | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 32:18 | 20 |
| 6 | Caledonian Braves | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 31:21 | 19 |
| 7 | Johnstone Burgh | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 22:16 | 18 |
| 8 | Celtic B | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 28:19 | 17 |
| 9 | Cumnock Juniors | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 25:18 | 17 |
| 10 | Troon FC | 11 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 20:23 | 12 |
| 11 | Cumbernauld Colts | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 20:23 | 10 |
| 12 | Gretna 2008 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 25:33 | 10 |
| 13 | Beith | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 14:28 | 9 |
| 14 | Albion Rovers | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 10:21 | 8 |
| 15 | Renfrew | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 18:29 | 7 |
| 16 | Newton Stewart | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 9:37 | 4 |
| 17 | Dalbeattie Star | 10 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6:35 | 1 |
Promotion - League Two (Relegation - Play Offs)
