Sport Picks
Tropical Coriano vs Lentigione - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Italy
Serie D - Group D 
Match Events
30'
30'
Antezza S.
68'
68'
Nappo G.
86'
86'
Giorgi D.
AI Match Summary
Lentigione in this Serie D - Group D matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lentigione.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
29%
20%
51%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lentigione
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- Tropical Coriano haven't matched Lentigione's recent run of results.
- 42% — that's where the model lands on Tropical Coriano taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 3 times recently and Lentigione have taken 3 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Tropical Coriano Clean Sheet 19%
Lentigione Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Tropical Coriano | Lentigione |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 30 |
| Wins | 6 | 18 |
| Draws | 8 | 7 |
| Losses | 14 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 0.82 | 1.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.32 | 0.93 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 16, 2026 Serie D - Group D
Tropical Coriano vs Lentigione
1:2
Jan 25, 2026 Serie D - Group D
Lentigione vs Tropical Coriano
2:0
Sep 24, 2025 Serie D - Group D
Tropical Coriano vs Lentigione
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Tropical Coriano Compare
Top Goalscorer Antezza S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
Lentigione Compare
Top Goalscorer Nappo G.
1 Goals Assists Leader Giorgi D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Tropical Coriano 42 / 100
Lentigione 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Tropical Coriano Lentigione
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Tropical Coriano scored in 64% of their last 28 games.
Defensive concern: Lentigione conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.
H2H data points to 2.67 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Tropical Coriano stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Tropical Coriano VS Lentigione
0.63 Goals Scored 1.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Tropical Coriano
(Home) 20 Sept
Oltrepo
0 : 1 Tropical Coriano
16 Sept
Tropical Coriano
1 : 2 Lentigione
12 Sept
Cittadella Vis Modena
1 : 0 Tropical Coriano
06 Sept
Tropical Coriano
1 : 1 Varese FC
10 May
Crema
2 : 0 Tropical Coriano
Page 1 of 6
16 Sept
Tropical Coriano
1 : 2 Lentigione
06 Sept
Tropical Coriano
1 : 1 Varese FC
26 Apr
Tropical Coriano
1 : 0 Piacenza
12 Apr
Tropical Coriano
2 : 0 Imolese
08 Apr
Tropical Coriano
0 : 1 Desenzano Calvina
Page 1 of 3
Lentigione
(Away) 07 Oct
Lentigione
1 : 3 Piacenza
04 Oct
Oltrepo
1 : 2 Lentigione
27 Sept
Varese FC
1 : 1 Lentigione
20 Sept
Lentigione
0 : 1 Cittadella Vis Modena
16 Sept
Tropical Coriano
1 : 2 Lentigione
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Oltrepo
1 : 2 Lentigione
27 Sept
Varese FC
1 : 1 Lentigione
16 Sept
Tropical Coriano
1 : 2 Lentigione
06 Sept
Pro Sesto
2 : 3 Lentigione
26 Apr
Trevigliese
1 : 2 Lentigione
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pistoiese | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 17:1 | 18 |
| 2 | Pro Sesto | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 17:5 | 13 |
| 3 | Pro Patria | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10:4 | 13 |
| 4 | Lentigione | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9:6 | 13 |
| 5 | Castellanzese | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 13:5 | 12 |
| 6 | Cittadella Vis Modena | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7:4 | 10 |
| 7 | USD Casatese | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10:9 | 10 |
| 8 | Correggese | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7:9 | 10 |
| 9 | Sant'Angelo | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:7 | 8 |
| 10 | Pavia | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 5:3 | 7 |
| 11 | Varese FC | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7:7 | 6 |
| 12 | Varesina | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7:10 | 5 |
| 13 | Solbiatese | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2:6 | 5 |
| 14 | Tropical Coriano | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:4 | 4 |
| 15 | Crema | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:14 | 4 |
| 16 | Arconatese | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4:13 | 3 |
| 17 | Oltrepo | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4:14 | 3 |
| 18 | US Pontedera | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3:15 | 0 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group D (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group D (Play Out)
