Sport Picks

Italy

Serie D - Group D

Tropical Coriano

1 - 0

Piacenza

Our Tip

Match Events

34'

Pacchioni G.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group D game between Tropical Coriano and Piacenza finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tropical Coriano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%

Tropical Coriano

28%

Draws

50%

Piacenza

Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Piacenza

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence

Tropical Coriano haven't matched Piacenza's recent run of results.
Piacenza are the model's pick here, at 50%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%

Tropical Coriano Clean Sheet 16%

Piacenza Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Tropical Coriano	Piacenza
Matches Played	31	33
Wins	7	21
Draws	8	5
Losses	16	7
Goals Scored	1.13	2.13
Goals Conceded	0.88	0.88
Expected Goals (xG)	1.13	2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.88	0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Serie D - Group D

Tropical Coriano vs Piacenza

Possession: 49% - 52% Cards: 2 - 2

1:0

Dec 14, 2025 Serie D - Group D

Piacenza vs Tropical Coriano

Possession: 46% - 45% Cards: 1 - 2

4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tropical Coriano Compare

Top Goalscorer Pacchioni G.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.87

Avg xA / game 0.56

Piacenza Compare

Avg xG / game 1.94

Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tropical Coriano 23 / 100

Piacenza 48 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Tropical Coriano Piacenza

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PIA Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Piacenza has conceded goals in 76% of their last 33 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Tropical Coriano remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Tropical Coriano scored in 58% of their last 31 outings.

Scoring Trends

Tropical Coriano VS Piacenza

1.13 Goals Scored 2.13

0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88

50% Over 1.5 88%

13% Over 2.5 63%

13% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Desenzano Calvina	34	23	8	3	60:21	77
2	Lentigione	34	22	7	5	51:23	73
3	Pistoiese	34	20	11	3	61:22	71
4	Piacenza	34	19	7	8	60:35	64
5	Pro Palazzolo	34	16	9	9	44:31	57
6	Pro Sesto	34	15	10	9	45:30	55
7	Cittadella Vis Modena	34	15	10	9	35:29	55
8	Rovato Vertovese	34	14	10	10	35:29	52
9	Sangiuliano City	34	14	8	12	41:45	47
10	SCD Progresso	34	10	9	15	38:42	39
11	Sant'Angelo	34	10	9	15	38:51	39
12	Correggese	34	9	12	13	35:36	39
13	Crema	34	9	11	14	35:47	38
14	Imolese	34	8	10	16	28:47	34
15	Sasso Marconi	34	8	7	19	33:49	31
16	Tropical Coriano	34	7	10	17	29:45	31
17	Trevigliese	34	5	8	21	31:62	23
18	Tuttocuoio	34	0	8	26	18:73	8