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Trosvik vs Sparta Sarpsborg

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 1 2014
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AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 1 2014 game between Trosvik and Sparta Sarpsborg finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Trosvik
15%
Draws
0%
Sparta Sarpsborg
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Trosvik

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Trosvik carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Trosvik taking it.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 1 2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Trosvik Clean Sheet 10%
Sparta Sarpsborg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Trosvik Sparta Sarpsborg
Matches Played 35 37
Wins 13 10
Draws 2 4
Losses 20 23
Goals Scored 2.34 1.7
Goals Conceded 3 3.08
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 3, 2016 Division 3 - Group 1
Sparta Sarpsborg vs Trosvik
1:3
May 14, 2016 Division 3 - Group 1
Trosvik vs Sparta Sarpsborg
4:2
Sep 27, 2014 Division 3 - Group 1
Trosvik vs Sparta Sarpsborg
1:1
Jun 7, 2014 Division 3 - Group 1
Sparta Sarpsborg vs Trosvik
4:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Trosvik 56 / 100
Sparta Sarpsborg 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Trosvik Sparta Sarpsborg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Trosvik Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Trosvik found the back of the net in 91% of recent matches (35 games).

Sparta Sarpsborg has conceded goals in 86% of their last 37 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.50 goals per match.

Sparta Sarpsborg lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Trosvik VS Sparta Sarpsborg
1.63 Goals Scored 0.75
3.88 Goals Conceded 3.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Trosvik

(Home)
22 Oct
Trosvik
2 : 4
Fredrikstad 2
15 Oct
Roa
1 : 1
Trosvik
08 Oct
Trosvik
1 : 3
As
01 Oct
Sarpsborg FK
7 : 2
Trosvik
24 Sept
Trosvik
0 : 2
Nordstrand
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Sparta Sarpsborg

(Away)
22 Aug
Sparta Sarpsborg
0 : 2
Sarpsborg 08
01 May
Sparta Sarpsborg
0 : 9
Fredrikstad
22 Oct
Sparta Sarpsborg
3 : 7
Sarpsborg FK
15 Oct
Nordstrand
3 : 2
Sparta Sarpsborg
08 Oct
Sparta Sarpsborg
1 : 4
Drobak-Frogn
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