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Troszyn vs LKS Lomza

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group I 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

62' Event
Klups T.
87' Event
Antkowiak H.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

LKS Lomza in this III Liga - Group I 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored LKS Lomza.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Troszyn
44%
Draws
20%
LKS Lomza
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • LKS Lomza average 2.25 goals a game right now, well clear of Troszyn's 1.5.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular III Liga - Group I 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Troszyn Clean Sheet 14%
LKS Lomza Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Troszyn LKS Lomza
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 16 16
Draws 6 5
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 1.5 2.25
Goals Conceded 1 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 III Liga - Group I
Troszyn vs LKS Lomza
0:2
Nov 8, 2025 III Liga - Group I
LKS Lomza vs Troszyn
2:3
Feb 8, 2025 Club Friendly
Troszyn vs LKS Lomza
4:3
Aug 3, 2024 Club Friendly
LKS Lomza vs Troszyn
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Troszyn Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

LKS Lomza Compare

Top Goalscorer Klups T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Troszyn 35 / 100
LKS Lomza 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Troszyn LKS Lomza

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LOM Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Troszyn's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

LKS Lomza let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

Troszyn has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Troszyn VS LKS Lomza
1.5 Goals Scored 2.25
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Legia II34273482:2984
2LKS Lomza34225777:3171
3Warta Sieradz34218564:3471
4Suwalki34205964:4365
5Troszyn341761175:4757
6Plock II341681056:5156
7Widzew Lodz II341731470:6454
8Jagiellonia II341471346:4549
9Tomaszow Mazowiecki341381364:5547
10Zabkovia Zabki341351672:6444
11Swit Mazowiecki341251751:6641
12MKS Mlawa341171655:5940
13Olimpia Elblag341081645:6138
14GKS Wikielec341071740:5437
15Bron Radom34991640:5736
16GKS Belchatow34971850:7634
17Wasilkow34742340:7925
18Znicz Biala Piska34432727:10315