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Stadium Background

Troszyn vs Warta Sieradz - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group I
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Trubnikov O.
57' Event
Lis M.
58' Event
Ptasinski K.

AI Match Summary

Warta Sieradz in this III Liga - Group I matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Warta Sieradz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Troszyn
35%
Draws
37%
Warta Sieradz
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Warta Sieradz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Troszyn haven't matched Warta Sieradz's recent run of results.
  • 37% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Troszyn Clean Sheet 10%
Warta Sieradz Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Troszyn Warta Sieradz
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 13 14
Draws 6 9
Losses 9 6
Goals Scored 1.82 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 19, 2026 III Liga - Group I
Troszyn vs Warta Sieradz
1:4
Apr 10, 2026 III Liga - Group I
Warta Sieradz vs Troszyn
1:2
Sep 20, 2025 III Liga - Group I
Troszyn vs Warta Sieradz
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Troszyn Compare

Top Goalscorer Ptasinski K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Warta Sieradz Compare

Top Goalscorer Mocny P.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Trubnikov O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Troszyn 30 / 100
Warta Sieradz 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Troszyn Warta Sieradz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Warta Sieradz Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Troszyn scored in 89% of their last 28 outings.

Warta Sieradz let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.67 goals.

Troszyn has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Troszyn VS Warta Sieradz
1.25 Goals Scored 2
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Troszyn

(Home)
26 Sept
Troszyn
1 : 1
LKS Lodz II
19 Sept
MKS Mlawa
4 : 1
Troszyn
12 Sept
Troszyn
1 : 1
LKS Lomza
05 Sept
Tomaszow Mazowiecki
0 : 2
Troszyn
29 Aug
Troszyn
3 : 3
KTS Weszlo
Page 1 of 6

Warta Sieradz

(Away)
03 Oct
Warta Sieradz
1 : 1
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
19 Sept
Warta Sieradz
2 : 2
Olimpia Zambrow
12 Sept
Lidzbark Warmimski
1 : 2
Warta Sieradz
04 Sept
Warta Sieradz
4 : 1
Olimpia Elblag
29 Aug
Swit Mazowiecki
2 : 1
Warta Sieradz
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 KTS Weszlo 11 8 2 1 24:10 26
2 Suwalki 12 7 4 1 22:11 25
3 Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki 11 6 3 2 27:18 21
4 Pelikan 11 6 2 3 17:13 20
5 Swit Mazowiecki 11 6 2 3 20:12 20
6 Plock II 11 5 3 3 22:18 18
7 Zabkovia Zabki 10 5 1 4 19:18 16
8 Jagiellonia II 10 4 3 3 22:20 15
9 Warta Sieradz 11 4 3 4 19:19 15
10 Widzew Lodz II 10 4 2 4 21:18 14
11 Olimpia Zambrow 11 4 2 5 23:27 14
12 Tomaszow Mazowiecki 11 4 1 6 21:23 13
13 Olimpia Elblag 11 4 1 6 16:20 13
14 LKS Lodz II 10 3 2 5 16:19 11
15 MKS Mlawa 11 3 1 7 22:32 10
16 Lidzbark Warmimski 11 2 3 6 16:22 9
17 Troszyn 10 1 4 5 12:24 7
18 LKS Lomza 11 0 3 8 10:25 3
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)