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Troyan vs Bdin Vidin

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-West 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bdin Vidin in this Third League - North-West 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bdin Vidin.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Troyan
15%
Draws
57%
Bdin Vidin
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bdin Vidin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Bdin Vidin have won more games recently than Troyan.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Third League - North-West 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 60%
Over 4.5 Goals 27%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Troyan Clean Sheet 10%
Bdin Vidin Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Troyan Bdin Vidin
Matches Played 22 30
Wins 5 17
Draws 1 1
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 0.91 2.33
Goals Conceded 2.55 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 Third League - North-West
Troyan vs Bdin Vidin
0:2
Aug 23, 2025 Third League - North-West
Bdin Vidin vs Troyan
7:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Troyan 34 / 100
Bdin Vidin 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Troyan Bdin Vidin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bdin Vidin Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.50 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Bdin Vidin conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Away concern: Bdin Vidin has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Troyan found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (22 games).

Scoring Trends

Troyan VS Bdin Vidin
1.14 Goals Scored 2.75
1.86 Goals Conceded 1.75
57% Over 1.5 88%
57% Over 2.5 88%
57% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Troyan

(Home)
23 May
OFK Levski
3 : 1
Troyan
16 May
Troyan
1 : 0
Yantra Polski Trambesh
09 May
Troyan
0 : 1
Pavlikeni
03 May
Kom Berkovitsa
4 : 1
Troyan
25 Apr
Troyan
1 : 4
Lokomotiv Mezdra
Page 1 of 5

Bdin Vidin

(Away)
19 Sept
OFK Levski
2 : 1
Bdin Vidin
12 Sept
Bdin Vidin
3 : 2
Pavlikeni
05 Sept
Spartak Pleven II
2 : 4
Bdin Vidin
29 Aug
Bdin Vidin
0 : 1
Lokomotiv Mezdra
22 Aug
Yantra Polski Trambesh
3 : 1
Bdin Vidin
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lokomotiv Mezdra 22 19 1 2 62:20 58
2 Akademik Svishtov 22 17 3 2 40:11 54
3 Kom Berkovitsa 22 13 6 3 46:22 45
4 Bdin Vidin 22 14 1 7 57:26 43
5 Partizan Cerven Brjag 22 8 6 8 25:25 30
6 Pavlikeni 22 9 3 10 29:24 30
7 Etar II 22 8 5 9 32:31 29
8 Yantra Polski Trambesh 22 6 6 10 37:47 24
9 OFK Levski 22 6 5 11 32:35 23
10 Troyan 22 5 1 16 20:56 16
11 Juventus Malchika 22 2 1 19 14:72 4
12 FC Lovech 22 6 0 16 18:43 18
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