Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Troyan vs Etar II

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-West 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Etar II in this Third League - North-West 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Etar II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Troyan
20%
Draws
50%
Etar II
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Etar II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Etar II lately — more wins on the board than Troyan.
  • Etar II are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Troyan Clean Sheet 17%
Etar II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Troyan Etar II
Matches Played 22 29
Wins 5 10
Draws 1 6
Losses 16 13
Goals Scored 0.91 1.45
Goals Conceded 2.55 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2026 Third League - North-West
Troyan vs Etar II
0:1
Sep 20, 2025 Third League - North-West
Etar II vs Troyan
4:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Troyan 28 / 100
Etar II 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Troyan Etar II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Etar II Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Etar II has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Attacking prowess: Troyan scored in 50% of their last 22 outings.

Recent resilience: Troyan stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Troyan VS Etar II
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Troyan

(Home)
23 May
OFK Levski
3 : 1
Troyan
16 May
Troyan
1 : 0
Yantra Polski Trambesh
09 May
Troyan
0 : 1
Pavlikeni
03 May
Kom Berkovitsa
4 : 1
Troyan
25 Apr
Troyan
1 : 4
Lokomotiv Mezdra
Page 1 of 5

Etar II

(Away)
12 Sept
Partizan Cerven Brjag
1 : 0
Etar II
05 Sept
Etar II
3 : 0
Juventus Malchika
30 Aug
Akademik Svishtov
3 : 2
Etar II
22 Aug
Etar II
2 : 2
Kom Berkovitsa
22 May
Yantra Polski Trambesh
0 : 0
Etar II
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lokomotiv Mezdra 22 19 1 2 62:20 58
2 Akademik Svishtov 22 17 3 2 40:11 54
3 Kom Berkovitsa 22 13 6 3 46:22 45
4 Bdin Vidin 22 14 1 7 57:26 43
5 Partizan Cerven Brjag 22 8 6 8 25:25 30
6 Pavlikeni 22 9 3 10 29:24 30
7 Etar II 22 8 5 9 32:31 29
8 Yantra Polski Trambesh 22 6 6 10 37:47 24
9 OFK Levski 22 6 5 11 32:35 23
10 Troyan 22 5 1 16 20:56 16
11 Juventus Malchika 22 2 1 19 14:72 4
12 FC Lovech 22 6 0 16 18:43 18
Promotion - Vtora liga (Main)