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Troyan vs Pavlikeni - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-West 2025/2026
Troyan Logo

Troyan

0 - 1
FT
Pavlikeni Logo

Pavlikeni

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Third League - North-West 2025/2026 game between Troyan and Pavlikeni finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pavlikeni.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Troyan
15%
Draws
0%
Pavlikeni
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Troyan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Pavlikeni come out ahead of Troyan on wins alone.
  • Model gives Troyan a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.4%
Troyan Clean Sheet 16%
Pavlikeni Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Troyan Pavlikeni
Matches Played 22 28
Wins 5 10
Draws 1 3
Losses 16 15
Goals Scored 0.91 1.21
Goals Conceded 2.55 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Third League - North-West
Troyan vs Pavlikeni
0:1
Oct 18, 2025 Third League - North-West
Pavlikeni vs Troyan
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Troyan 39 / 100
Pavlikeni 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Troyan Pavlikeni

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Troyan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Difficult form: Pavlikeni registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Pavlikeni has conceded goals in 61% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Troyan found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (22 games).

Scoring Trends

Troyan VS Pavlikeni
1.14 Goals Scored 1.13
1.86 Goals Conceded 1.13
57% Over 1.5 38%
57% Over 2.5 38%
57% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Troyan

(Home)
23 May
OFK Levski
3 : 1
Troyan
16 May
Troyan
1 : 0
Yantra Polski Trambesh
09 May
Troyan
0 : 1
Pavlikeni
03 May
Kom Berkovitsa
4 : 1
Troyan
25 Apr
Troyan
1 : 4
Lokomotiv Mezdra
Page 1 of 5

Pavlikeni

(Away)
26 Sept
Akademik Svishtov
2 : 1
Pavlikeni
19 Sept
Pavlikeni
1 : 4
Kom Berkovitsa
12 Sept
Bdin Vidin
3 : 2
Pavlikeni
05 Sept
Pavlikeni
0 : 1
Sevlievo
29 Aug
Chavdar Troyan
1 : 0
Pavlikeni
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lokomotiv Mezdra 22 19 1 2 62:20 58
2 Akademik Svishtov 22 17 3 2 40:11 54
3 Kom Berkovitsa 22 13 6 3 46:22 45
4 Bdin Vidin 22 14 1 7 57:26 43
5 Partizan Cerven Brjag 22 8 6 8 25:25 30
6 Pavlikeni 22 9 3 10 29:24 30
7 Etar II 22 8 5 9 32:31 29
8 Yantra Polski Trambesh 22 6 6 10 37:47 24
9 OFK Levski 22 6 5 11 32:35 23
10 Troyan 22 5 1 16 20:56 16
11 Juventus Malchika 22 2 1 19 14:72 4
12 FC Lovech 22 6 0 16 18:43 18
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