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Troyes II vs Arras

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CFA - Group A 2015/2016
Troyes II Logo

Troyes II

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Arras Logo

Arras

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Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The CFA - Group A 2015/2016 game between Troyes II and Arras finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Arras.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Troyes II
20%
Draws
29%
Arras
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Troyes II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Arras's 1.39 goals per match outpaces what Troyes II have produced (1.29).
  • Arras are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular CFA - Group A 2015/2016 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 42.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Troyes II Clean Sheet 16%
Arras Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Troyes II Arras
Matches Played 31 38
Wins 9 9
Draws 9 12
Losses 13 17
Goals Scored 1.29 1.39
Goals Conceded 1.68 1.95
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 16, 2016 National 1 - Group A
Troyes II vs Arras
0:2
Dec 5, 2015 National 1 - Group A
Arras vs Troyes II
2:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Troyes II 28 / 100
Arras 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Troyes II Arras

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Arras Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arras has conceded goals in 84% of their last 38 outings.

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Troyes II went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Away concern: Arras has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Troyes II VS Arras
1.2 Goals Scored 1
2 Goals Conceded 1.5
80% Over 1.5 75%
80% Over 2.5 38%
60% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Troyes II

(Home)
19 Sept
Troyes II
3 : 2
Andrezieux
12 Sept
Nimes
4 : 0
Troyes II
05 Sept
Troyes II
3 : 1
Saint Priest
29 Aug
Rumilly Vallieres
3 : 0
Troyes II
22 Aug
Troyes II
0 : 0
Istres
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Arras

(Away)
16 Nov
Arras
0 : 2
Valenciennes
14 Feb
Loon Plage
2 : 1
Arras
07 Feb
Arras
2 : 1
St Quentin
25 May
Fleury-Merogis
5 : 4
Arras
18 May
Arras
3 : 3
Haguenau
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Quevilly 30 17 11 2 50:22 92
2 IC Croix 30 15 10 5 55:37 85
3 Poissy 30 15 7 8 55:42 82
4 Sannois 30 12 10 8 46:39 76
5 Arras 30 11 8 11 43:43 71
6 Amiens AC 30 12 4 14 35:34 70
7 PSG II 30 11 7 12 35:40 70
8 Mantes 30 11 6 13 31:38 69
9 Calais 30 10 8 12 32:37 68
10 Boulogne Billancourt 30 10 8 12 43:40 68
11 Dieppe 30 9 10 11 31:24 67
12 Wasquehal 30 12 10 8 44:41 66
13 Lens II 30 9 9 12 37:45 66
14 Troyes II 30 9 9 12 41:47 65
15 Aubervilliers 30 4 12 14 27:47 54
16 Roye 30 5 7 18 38:67 51
Promotion - National 2016/2017 (Main)