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Troyes vs Paris FC Prediction & H2H Stats

France France

Ligue 1 Stade de l'Aube, Troyes
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Koleosho L. In: Simon M.
Out: Koleosho L.
55'
Sub
Titi Y. In: Donkor N.
Out: Titi Y.
56'
Diaz Jr. M.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Ligue 1 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Troyes
30%
Draws
51%
Paris FC
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Paris FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Troyes have won more games recently than Paris FC.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Paris FC taking it.
  • Regular Ligue 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Paris FC have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Troyes Clean Sheet 15%
Paris FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Troyes Paris FC
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 14 11
Draws 6 11
Losses 9 6
Goals Scored 1.76 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Ligue 1
Troyes vs Paris FC
0:0
Feb 21, 2025 Ligue 2
Paris FC vs Troyes
1:0
Oct 21, 2024 Ligue 2
Troyes vs Paris FC
0:3
Jul 17, 2024 Club Friendly
Troyes vs Paris FC
1:2
Apr 13, 2024 Ligue 2
Troyes vs Paris FC
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Troyes 10 / 100
Paris FC 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Troyes Paris FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Paris FC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 3:6
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Troyes scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Paris FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Solid form: Troyes remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Troyes VS Paris FC
1.75 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Troyes

(Home)
02 Oct
Dijon
2 : 2
Troyes
19 Sept
Angers
2 : 0
Troyes
13 Sept
Lille
2 : 0
Troyes
06 Sept
Troyes
2 : 6
Strasbourg
29 Aug
Lorient
1 : 2
Troyes
Page 1 of 6

Paris FC

(Away)
19 Sept
Paris FC
2 : 1
Strasbourg
12 Sept
Paris FC
0 : 0
Lyon
06 Sept
Marseille
2 : 3
Paris FC
30 Aug
Paris FC
3 : 0
Nice
22 Aug
Troyes
0 : 0
Paris FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Monaco 5 4 1 0 8:3 13
2 Lyon 5 3 2 0 10:2 11
3 Paris FC 5 3 2 0 8:3 11
4 Lille 5 3 1 1 8:4 10
5 Rennes 5 3 1 1 8:9 10
6 PSG 5 2 2 1 8:7 8
7 Angers 5 2 1 2 6:5 7
8 Strasbourg 5 2 1 2 10:10 7
9 Le Mans 5 1 3 1 9:9 6
10 Auxerre 5 2 0 3 7:12 6
11 Brest 5 1 2 2 7:8 5
12 Lorient 5 1 2 2 5:6 5
13 Toulouse 5 1 2 2 7:9 5
14 Nice 5 1 2 2 3:6 5
15 Lens 5 1 1 3 9:9 4
16 Troyes 5 1 1 3 4:11 4
17 Marseille 5 1 0 4 7:8 3
18 Le Havre 5 0 2 3 4:7 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 1 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 2027/2028 (Main)