Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Trstenik vs Jagodina

Serbia Serbia

Srpska Liga - East
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Trstenik in this Srpska Liga - East matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Trstenik.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Trstenik
6%
Draws
90%
Jagodina
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Jagodina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Trstenik haven't matched Jagodina's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Jagodina's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Srpska Liga - East form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Jagodina have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Trstenik Clean Sheet 10%
Jagodina Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Trstenik Jagodina
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 16
Draws 7 6
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 1.38 4.25
Goals Conceded 1 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 4.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Srpska Liga - East
Trstenik vs Jagodina
3:0
Oct 4, 2025 Srpska Liga - East
Jagodina vs Trstenik
2:0
Apr 12, 2025 Srpska Liga - East
Trstenik vs Jagodina
1:2
Sep 14, 2024 Srpska Liga - East
Jagodina vs Trstenik
3:1
Mar 14, 2020 Srpska Liga - East
Jagodina vs Trstenik
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Trstenik 10 / 100
Jagodina 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Trstenik Jagodina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JAG Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Trstenik scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Solid form: Trstenik remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Jagodina let in goals in 57% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Trstenik VS Jagodina
1.38 Goals Scored 4.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Trstenik

(Home)
14 Jun
Trstenik
9 : 1
Rudar 2016
07 Jun
Rembas
0 : 1
Trstenik
31 May
Brzi Brod
4 : 1
Trstenik
23 May
Trstenik
1 : 0
Morava Cuprija
16 May
Timok
3 : 0
Trstenik
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Jagodina

(Away)
12 Jun
Jagodina
13 : 0
Djerdap
07 Jun
Dunav Prahovo
1 : 0
Jagodina
30 May
Jagodina
4 : 1
Paracin
24 May
Radnicki Pirot
1 : 5
Jagodina
16 May
Jagodina
4 : 2
Sloga Leskovac
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