Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Trstenik vs Jagodina

Serbia Serbia

Srpska Liga - East 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Trstenik in this Srpska Liga - East 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Trstenik.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Trstenik
20%
Draws
44%
Jagodina
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Jagodina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Trstenik haven't matched Jagodina's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Trstenik's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular Srpska Liga - East 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Jagodina have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Trstenik Clean Sheet 10%
Jagodina Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Trstenik Jagodina
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 11 17
Draws 7 4
Losses 12 7
Goals Scored 1.33 3.07
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 3.71
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Srpska Liga - East
Trstenik vs Jagodina
3:0
Oct 4, 2025 Srpska Liga - East
Jagodina vs Trstenik
2:0
Apr 12, 2025 Srpska Liga - East
Trstenik vs Jagodina
1:2
Sep 14, 2024 Srpska Liga - East
Jagodina vs Trstenik
3:1
Mar 14, 2020 Srpska Liga - East
Jagodina vs Trstenik
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Trstenik 34 / 100
Jagodina 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Trstenik Jagodina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Trstenik scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Solid form: Trstenik remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Jagodina let in goals in 54% of their last 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

Trstenik VS Jagodina
2.5 Goals Scored 5.75
1.67 Goals Conceded 1.38
67% Over 1.5 88%
67% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Trstenik

(Home)
14 Jun
Trstenik
9 : 1
Rudar 2016
07 Jun
Rembas
0 : 1
Trstenik
31 May
Brzi Brod
4 : 1
Trstenik
23 May
Trstenik
1 : 0
Morava Cuprija
16 May
Timok
3 : 0
Trstenik
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Jagodina

(Away)
12 Sept
Jagodina
3 : 0
Radnicki Pirot
05 Sept
Djerdap
0 : 1
Jagodina
29 Aug
Jagodina
2 : 2
Morava Cuprija
23 Aug
Radnicki Svilajnac
0 : 2
Jagodina
15 Aug
Jagodina
3 : 3
Brzi Brod
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