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Truro vs Birmingham U21 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

National League Cup Truro Sports Hub, Truro
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Tweedy T.
57'
Chahal C.
58' Event
Starkie B.
Assist: Tweedy T.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-0. This leg finished 3-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
Truro
20%
Draws
19%
Birmingham U21
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Truro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Truro have won more games recently than Birmingham U21.
  • Win probability leans Truro's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Truro have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Truro, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Truro Clean Sheet 19%
Birmingham U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Truro Birmingham U21
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 14 6
Draws 7 7
Losses 7 16
Goals Scored 1.5 1.31
Goals Conceded 0.68 2.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 13, 2026 National League Cup
Truro vs Birmingham U21
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Truro Compare

Top Goalscorer Tweedy T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Starkie B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Birmingham U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Truro 85 / 100
Birmingham U21 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Truro Birmingham U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Truro Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Birmingham U21's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 29 matches.

Truro has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Truro's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Truro VS Birmingham U21
1.63 Goals Scored 1.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Truro

(Home)
13 Oct
Truro
3 : 0
Birmingham U21
10 Oct
Braintree
1 : 2
Truro
06 Oct
Farnham
2 : 2
Truro
03 Oct
Truro
4 : 0
Cirencester
26 Sept
Maidstone
1 : 2
Truro
Page 1 of 6

Birmingham U21

(Away)
13 Oct
Truro
3 : 0
Birmingham U21
09 Oct
Birmingham U21
2 : 4
Huddersfield U21
18 Sept
Birmingham U21
0 : 0
Arsenal U21
15 Sept
Gillingham U21
0 : 4
Birmingham U21
11 Sept
Norwich U21
4 : 2
Birmingham U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Halifax 3 3 0 0 13:4 9
2 Scunthorpe 3 3 0 0 8:3 8
3 Wolves U21 3 2 0 1 3:4 5
4 Derby U21 3 1 0 2 7:9 4
5 Wealdstone 2 1 0 1 7:3 3
6 Nottingham U21 2 1 0 1 2:3 2
7 Gateshead 3 0 0 3 2:4 2
8 Stoke City U21 3 0 0 3 2:14 0
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 West Ham U21 3 3 0 0 9:3 9
2 Norwich U21 3 2 0 1 5:6 5
3 Ipswich U21 3 2 0 1 3:5 5
4 Hornchurch 3 1 0 2 5:3 4
5 Aldershot 3 1 0 2 7:8 4
6 Braintree 3 1 0 2 5:6 4
7 Fulham U21 3 2 0 1 4:5 4
8 Worthing FC 3 0 0 3 2:4 1
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Middlesbrough U21 3 3 0 0 16:2 9
2 Boreham Wood 3 2 0 1 8:4 7
3 Tamworth 3 2 0 1 7:6 6
4 Solihull Moors 4 2 0 2 6:7 6
5 Everton U21 3 2 0 1 2:2 5
6 Newcastle Utd U21 4 1 0 3 7:10 3
7 Leeds U21 3 1 0 2 5:8 3
8 Hartlepool 3 0 0 3 1:13 0
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Truro 3 3 0 0 9:2 9
2 Woking 3 2 0 1 6:3 6
3 Sutton 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
4 West Brom U21 3 2 0 1 3:3 5
5 Birmingham U21 3 2 0 1 4:6 5
6 Southampton U21 3 1 0 2 8:11 3
7 Leicester U21 3 0 0 3 3:6 2
8 Boston United 3 0 0 3 7:10 0
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)