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Truro vs Fulham U21

England England

National League Cup 2025/2026 Truro Sports Hub, Truro
Our Tip

Match Events

6'
Kinsey M.
23'
Starkie B.
46'
Sub
Ali Wahid F. In: Quashie J.
Out: Ali Wahid F.

AI Match Summary

Truro in this National League Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Truro
30%
Draws
23%
Fulham U21
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Truro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Fulham U21 lately — more wins on the board than Truro.
  • Truro are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Fulham U21 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Truro, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Truro Clean Sheet 17%
Fulham U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Truro Fulham U21
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 9 12
Draws 7 5
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.15 2.14
Goals Conceded 0.89 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2025 National League Cup
Truro vs Fulham U21
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Truro Compare

Top Goalscorer Jephcott L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Fulham U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Truro 57 / 100
Fulham U21 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Truro Fulham U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Truro Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fulham U21 has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Truro's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Truro went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Difficult form: Fulham U21 registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Truro VS Fulham U21
1.88 Goals Scored 2.13
0.63 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Truro

(Home)
19 Sept
Merthyr Town
1 : 1
Truro
15 Sept
Truro
0 : 1
Salisbury
12 Sept
Truro
1 : 1
Walton & Hersham
08 Sept
Truro
4 : 1
Leicester U21
05 Sept
Truro
3 : 1
Chesham
Page 1 of 6

Fulham U21

(Away)
19 Sept
Chelsea U21
3 : 1
Fulham U21
11 Sept
Fulham U21
3 : 3
Aston Villa U21
08 Sept
Braintree
2 : 1
Fulham U21
31 Aug
Newcastle Utd U21
0 : 4
Fulham U21
26 Aug
Fulham U21
1 : 4
Dortmund II
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tamworth 4 4 0 0 12:1 12
2 Brackley 4 3 0 1 7:3 10
3 Rochdale 4 3 0 1 6:5 9
4 Solihull Moors 4 3 0 1 6:3 8
5 Everton U21 4 2 0 2 4:5 5
6 Manchester United U21 4 1 0 3 4:9 3
7 Burnley U21 4 0 0 4 2:8 1
8 Blackburn U21 4 0 0 4 2:9 0
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Boreham Wood 4 4 0 0 13:4 12
2 Braintree 4 3 0 1 8:5 9
3 Wealdstone 4 3 0 1 6:4 9
4 Forest Green 4 2 0 2 8:6 7
5 Nottingham U21 4 2 0 2 3:3 6
6 West Brom U21 4 1 0 3 5:10 3
7 Leicester U21 4 1 0 3 6:10 2
8 Wolves U21 4 0 0 4 5:12 0
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 West Ham U21 4 4 0 0 13:4 11
2 Truro 4 3 0 1 7:5 9
3 Woking 4 3 0 1 5:4 8
4 Brighton U21 4 2 0 2 5:6 7
5 Aldershot 4 1 0 3 7:11 4
6 Sutton 4 1 0 3 8:13 4
7 Fulham U21 4 1 0 3 8:5 3
8 Southampton U21 4 1 0 3 7:12 2
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Boston United 4 3 0 1 11:4 9
2 Halifax 4 3 0 1 6:2 9
3 Newcastle Utd U21 4 2 0 2 7:6 7
4 Scunthorpe 4 2 0 2 8:8 6
5 Leeds U21 4 2 0 2 6:8 6
6 Sunderland U21 4 2 0 2 5:8 6
7 Middlesbrough U21 4 1 0 3 6:7 3
8 Gateshead 4 1 0 3 4:10 2
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)