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Truro vs Hartlepool

England England

National League 2025/2026 Truro Sports Hub, Truro
Our Tip

Match Events

9'
John C.
18'
Jephcott L.
39'
Oxlade-Chamberlain C.

AI Match Summary

Hartlepool in this National League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Hartlepool.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Truro
15%
Draws
57%
Hartlepool
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hartlepool

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

28% / Low Confidence
  • Hartlepool have won more games recently than Truro.
  • Model gives Truro a 28% chance of winning this.
  • Regular National League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Truro Clean Sheet 68%
Hartlepool Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Truro Hartlepool
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 6 15
Draws 7 4
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 0.85 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.19 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 National League
Truro vs Hartlepool
0:1
Nov 29, 2025 National League
Hartlepool vs Truro
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Truro Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Hartlepool Compare

Top Goalscorer Caton C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Truro 50 / 100
Hartlepool 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Truro Hartlepool

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TRU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hartlepool has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Truro found the back of the net in 56% of recent matches (27 games).

Solid form: Truro remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Truro VS Hartlepool
0.38 Goals Scored 2
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.88
13% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Truro

(Home)
25 Jul
Truro
0 : 1
Plymouth
18 Jul
Truro
1 : 0
Exeter
25 Apr
Aldershot
0 : 2
Truro
18 Apr
Truro
0 : 1
Carlisle
11 Apr
Boston United
1 : 0
Truro
Page 1 of 6

Hartlepool

(Away)
01 Aug
Hartlepool
1 : 0
Fleetwood Town
25 Jul
Hartlepool
0 : 3
Grimsby
21 Jul
Hebburn Town
2 : 3
Hartlepool
18 Jul
Spennymoor
1 : 2
Hartlepool
14 Jul
Redcar Athletic
2 : 4
Hartlepool
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 York City 46 33 9 4 114:41 108
2 Rochdale 46 33 7 6 88:41 106
3 Carlisle 46 29 8 9 87:51 95
4 Boreham Wood 46 27 9 10 95:58 90
5 Scunthorpe 46 23 13 10 77:62 82
6 Southend 46 23 12 11 83:47 81
7 Forest Green 46 23 12 11 82:52 81
8 Halifax 46 20 10 16 69:66 70
9 Hartlepool 46 18 14 14 54:59 68
10 Woking 46 16 15 15 69:54 63
11 Tamworth 46 17 11 18 63:71 62
12 Boston United 46 15 14 17 63:67 59
13 Altrincham 46 17 6 23 55:65 57
14 Solihull Moors 46 14 14 18 71:72 56
15 Wealdstone 46 15 11 20 67:74 56
16 Yeovil 46 15 6 25 48:68 51
17 Eastleigh 46 13 11 22 57:80 50
18 Gateshead 46 14 8 24 54:90 50
19 Sutton 46 11 14 21 59:79 47
20 Aldershot 46 13 7 26 69:87 46
21 Brackley 46 10 12 24 40:75 42
22 Morecambe 46 9 11 26 66:103 38
23 Braintree 46 8 12 26 38:76 36
24 Truro 46 8 10 28 42:72 34
Promotion - League Two (Main)
Promotion - National League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)