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Truro vs Maidenhead - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

National League South
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Harvey T.
30' Event
Dean W.

AI Match Summary

The National League South game between Truro and Maidenhead finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Truro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Truro
30%
Draws
27%
Maidenhead
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Truro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Truro carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Truro are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular National League South form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Truro Clean Sheet 20%
Maidenhead Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Truro Maidenhead
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 12 9
Draws 7 9
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.37 1.21
Goals Conceded 0.7 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 National League South
Truro vs Maidenhead
2:0
Apr 17, 2017 National League South
Truro vs Maidenhead
0:3
Aug 29, 2016 National League South
Maidenhead vs Truro
2:0
Mar 19, 2016 National League South
Maidenhead vs Truro
0:0
Jan 23, 2016 National League South
Truro vs Maidenhead
4:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Truro Compare

Top Goalscorer Harvey T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dean W.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Maidenhead Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Truro 76 / 100
Maidenhead 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Truro Maidenhead

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Truro Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 5:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Truro has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Truro scored in 67% of their last 27 outings.

Maidenhead let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Truro VS Maidenhead
1.63 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Truro

(Home)
06 Oct
Farnham
2 : 2
Truro
03 Oct
Truro
4 : 0
Cirencester
26 Sept
Maidstone
1 : 2
Truro
22 Sept
Truro
2 : 0
Merthyr Town
19 Sept
Merthyr Town
1 : 1
Truro
Page 1 of 6

Maidenhead

(Away)
26 Sept
Chesham
0 : 4
Maidenhead
19 Sept
Maidenhead
1 : 3
Ebbsfleet
12 Sept
Maidenhead
2 : 2
Billericay
08 Sept
Maidenhead
0 : 4
Torquay
05 Sept
Dover Ath.
0 : 3
Maidenhead
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maidstone 10 6 1 3 18:11 19
2 Dagenham & Red. 10 6 1 3 10:7 19
3 Salisbury 10 5 3 2 18:7 18
4 Truro 10 5 3 2 15:7 18
5 Billericay 10 5 3 2 21:14 18
6 Weston-super-Mare 10 5 2 3 18:10 17
7 Farnham 10 5 2 3 16:14 17
8 Dover Ath. 10 5 2 3 17:16 17
9 Dorking Wanderers 10 4 4 2 22:16 16
10 Tonbridge 10 4 2 4 19:11 14
11 Maidenhead 10 3 4 3 12:11 13
12 Hemel Hempstead 10 3 4 3 10:10 13
13 Torquay 10 3 4 3 13:14 13
14 Ebbsfleet 6 3 3 0 7:3 12
15 Folkestone 10 3 3 4 15:12 12
16 Chelmsford 9 1 8 0 9:8 11
17 Horsham FC 9 2 5 2 9:10 11
18 Farnborough 9 3 2 4 8:13 11
19 Chesham 10 3 1 6 16:19 10
20 AFC Totton 9 3 1 5 8:15 10
21 Braintree 10 3 1 6 17:25 10
22 Hampton & Richmond 10 2 2 6 11:24 8
23 Walton & Hersham 10 1 2 7 9:27 5
24 Slough Town 10 1 1 8 10:24 4
Promotion - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League South (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League South (Play Offs)