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Truro vs Maidenhead

England England

National League South Truro Sports Hub, Truro
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Match Events

25' Event
Harvey T.
30' Event
Dean W.

AI Match Summary

The National League South game between Truro and Maidenhead finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Truro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

77%
Truro
15%
Draws
8%
Maidenhead
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Truro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / Very High Confidence
  • Maidenhead carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Truro are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular National League South form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Truro Clean Sheet 20%
Maidenhead Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Truro Maidenhead
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 6 11
Draws 7 8
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 0.89 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.19 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 National League South
Truro vs Maidenhead
2:0
Apr 17, 2017 National League South
Truro vs Maidenhead
0:3
Aug 29, 2016 National League South
Maidenhead vs Truro
2:0
Mar 19, 2016 National League South
Maidenhead vs Truro
0:0
Jan 23, 2016 National League South
Truro vs Maidenhead
4:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Truro Compare

Top Goalscorer Harvey T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dean W.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Maidenhead Compare

Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Truro 76 / 100
Maidenhead 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Truro Maidenhead

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TRU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 5:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Maidenhead has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Truro went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Maidenhead's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Truro VS Maidenhead
0.63 Goals Scored 1
0.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
25% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Truro

(Home)
08 Aug
Truro
2 : 0
Maidenhead
25 Jul
Truro
0 : 1
Plymouth
18 Jul
Truro
1 : 0
Exeter
25 Apr
Aldershot
0 : 2
Truro
18 Apr
Truro
0 : 1
Carlisle
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Maidenhead

(Away)
08 Aug
Truro
2 : 0
Maidenhead
01 Aug
Brackley
1 : 0
Maidenhead
25 Jul
Wimborne
1 : 1
Maidenhead
22 Jul
Maidenhead
0 : 1
Wolves
18 Jul
Maidenhead
1 : 3
Southampton U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Salisbury 1 1 0 0 5:0 3
2 Folkestone 1 1 0 0 5:1 3
3 Tonbridge 1 1 0 0 4:0 3
4 Weston-super-Mare 1 1 0 0 3:0 3
5 Billericay 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
6 Truro 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
7 Farnborough 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
8 Dagenham & Red. 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
9 AFC Totton 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
10 Torquay 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
11 Horsham FC 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
12 Hemel Hempstead 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
13 Chelmsford 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
14 Ebbsfleet 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
15 Slough Town 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
16 Maidstone 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
17 Farnham 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
18 Dorking Wanderers 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
19 Maidenhead 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
20 Dover Ath. 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
21 Chesham 1 0 0 1 0:3 0
22 Walton & Hersham 1 0 0 1 1:5 0
23 Braintree 1 0 0 1 0:4 0
24 Hampton & Richmond 1 0 0 1 0:5 0
Promotion - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League South (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League South (Play Offs)