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Tryavna vs Pavlikeni Prediction & H2H Stats

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-West 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Pavlikeni in this Third League - North-West 2020/2021 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pavlikeni.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Tryavna
15%
Draws
85%
Pavlikeni
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pavlikeni

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Pavlikeni lately — more wins on the board than Tryavna.
  • Pavlikeni are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Tryavna Clean Sheet 20%
Pavlikeni Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tryavna Pavlikeni
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 2 12
Draws 2 3
Losses 26 15
Goals Scored 0.67 1.3
Goals Conceded 3.27 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2021 Third League - North-West
Tryavna vs Pavlikeni
1:2
Oct 18, 2020 Third League - North-West
Pavlikeni vs Tryavna
3:1
Mar 15, 2020 Third League - North-West
Pavlikeni vs Tryavna
0:0
Aug 18, 2019 Third League - North-West
Tryavna vs Pavlikeni
0:0
Mar 24, 2019 Third League - North-West
Tryavna vs Pavlikeni
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tryavna 10 / 100
Pavlikeni 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tryavna Pavlikeni

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pavlikeni Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pavlikeni's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Defensive concern: Pavlikeni conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Attacking prowess: Tryavna scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Pavlikeni
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Tryavna

(Home)
30 May
Spartak Pleven
9 : 1
Tryavna
23 May
Tryavna
0 : 4
Bdin Vidin
19 May
Tryavna
0 : 2
OFK Levski
16 May
Parva Atomna
2 : 0
Tryavna
09 May
Tryavna
0 : 2
Akademik Svishtov
Page 1 of 6

Pavlikeni

(Away)
26 Sept
Akademik Svishtov
2 : 1
Pavlikeni
19 Sept
Pavlikeni
1 : 4
Kom Berkovitsa
12 Sept
Bdin Vidin
3 : 2
Pavlikeni
05 Sept
Pavlikeni
0 : 1
Sevlievo
29 Aug
Chavdar Troyan
1 : 0
Pavlikeni
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Levski Lom 34 28 6 0 86:11 90
2 Vihar Slavyanovo 34 22 6 6 67:29 72
3 Yantra Polski Trambesh 34 20 6 8 67:38 66
4 Sevlievo 34 18 7 9 55:30 61
5 Spartak Pleven 34 19 3 12 76:34 60
6 Botev Vratsa II 34 18 6 10 67:44 60
7 Partizan Cerven Brjag 34 15 8 11 47:42 53
8 Pavlikeni 34 14 8 12 41:35 50
9 Lokomotiv Dryanovo 34 15 4 15 59:58 49
10 Drenovets 34 13 10 11 55:55 49
11 Lokomotiv Mezdra 34 14 4 16 46:48 46
12 Akademik Svishtov 34 10 5 19 41:60 35
13 OFK Levski 34 8 10 16 36:45 34
14 Parva Atomna 34 9 6 19 38:63 33
15 Bdin Vidin 34 8 9 17 35:84 33
16 Etar II 34 9 5 20 45:62 32
17 Peshtera Galata 34 9 5 20 48:82 32
18 Tryavna 34 2 2 30 21:110 8
Promotion - Vtora liga 2021/2022 (Main)