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Trygg/Lade vs Verdal

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 4 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

43' Event
Engvik M.
75' Event
Vollan M.
90' Event
Eliassen M. F.

AI Match Summary

Trygg/Lade in this Division 3 - Group 4 2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Trygg/Lade.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Trygg/Lade
15%
Draws
0%
Verdal
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Trygg/Lade

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Trygg/Lade lately — more wins on the board than Verdal.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Trygg/Lade taking it.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 4 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Trygg/Lade Clean Sheet 16%
Verdal Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Trygg/Lade Verdal
Matches Played 37 28
Wins 18 6
Draws 4 6
Losses 15 16
Goals Scored 1.78 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.49 3.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 28, 2024 Division 3 - Group 4
Trygg/Lade vs Verdal
2:1
Apr 13, 2024 Division 3 - Group 4
Verdal vs Trygg/Lade
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Trygg/Lade Compare

Top Goalscorer Engvik M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Eliassen M. F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Verdal Compare

Top Goalscorer Vollan M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Trygg/Lade 84 / 100
Verdal 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Trygg/Lade Verdal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Trygg/Lade Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 3:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Trygg/Lade scored in 86% of their last 37 outings.

Verdal's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Verdal has conceded goals in 79% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Trygg/Lade VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
2 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
75% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Trygg/Lade

(Home)
08 Aug
Trygg/Lade
0 : 1
Grorud
02 Aug
Follo
1 : 2
Trygg/Lade
26 Jul
Trygg/Lade
1 : 2
Eidsvold TF
28 Jun
Skeid
7 : 1
Trygg/Lade
21 Jun
Trygg/Lade
1 : 4
Lorenskog
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Verdal

(Away)
24 Jan
Levanger
10 : 1
Verdal
13 Apr
Verdal
0 : 8
Levanger
27 Oct
Verdal
1 : 6
Nardo
20 Oct
Melhus
4 : 0
Verdal
05 Oct
Verdal
1 : 3
Tiller
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