Sport Picks
TSB Flensburg vs Dornbreite Lubeck
Germany
Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein 2024/2025 
Match Events
5'
5'
Holtze N.
26'
26'
Holtze N.
41'
41'
Baxter W.
AI Match Summary
The Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein 2024/2025 game between TSB Flensburg and Dornbreite Lubeck finished 7-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward TSB Flensburg.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
70%
20%
10%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: TSB Flensburg
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
70%
/ High Confidence
- TSB Flensburg carry the better recent record into this one.
- TSB Flensburg are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors TSB Flensburg here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 71.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
TSB Flensburg Clean Sheet 20%
Dornbreite Lubeck Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | TSB Flensburg | Dornbreite Lubeck |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 3 |
| Draws | 9 | 4 |
| Losses | 11 | 23 |
| Goals Scored | 2.23 | 1.07 |
| Goals Conceded | 2 | 3.47 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 3.33 | 1.11 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 8, 2025 Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein
TSB Flensburg vs Dornbreite Lubeck
7:2
Aug 31, 2024 Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein
Dornbreite Lubeck vs TSB Flensburg
1:4
Nov 18, 2023 Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein
Dornbreite Lubeck vs TSB Flensburg
0:3
Aug 12, 2023 Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein
TSB Flensburg vs Dornbreite Lubeck
2:1
May 13, 2023 Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein
TSB Flensburg vs Dornbreite Lubeck
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
TSB Flensburg Compare
Top Goalscorer Holtze N.
4 Goals Assists Leader Baxter W.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.56
Avg xA / game 1.67
Dornbreite Lubeck Compare
Top Goalscorer Hadj F.
1 Goals Assists Leader Odiase N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.62
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
TSB Flensburg 85 / 100
Dornbreite Lubeck 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
TSB Flensburg Dornbreite Lubeck
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick TSB Flensburg Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Dornbreite Lubeck has conceded goals in 93% of their last 30 outings.
Historical meetings average 4.60 goals per match.
TSB Flensburg's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Solid form: TSB Flensburg remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
TSB Flensburg VS Dornbreite Lubeck
2.25 Goals Scored 0.6
1.63 Goals Conceded 4.4
63% Over 1.5 80%
63% Over 2.5 80%
63% Over 3.5 80%
Recent Form & Match History
TSB Flensburg
(Home) 27 Sept
TSB Flensburg
4 : 0 Nordmark Satrup
19 Sept
TSB Flensburg
2 : 0 Lubeck II
13 Sept
TSB Flensburg
2 : 4 Eckernforder SV
05 Sept
Phonix Lubeck B
4 : 4 TSB Flensburg
30 Aug
TSB Flensburg
1 : 2 Heider SV
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
TSB Flensburg
4 : 0 Nordmark Satrup
19 Sept
TSB Flensburg
2 : 0 Lubeck II
13 Sept
TSB Flensburg
2 : 4 Eckernforder SV
30 Aug
TSB Flensburg
1 : 2 Heider SV
16 Aug
TSB Flensburg
1 : 0 Kilia Kiel
Page 1 of 4
Dornbreite Lubeck
(Away) 17 May
Dornbreite Lubeck
0 : 1 Eutin 08
09 May
Kilia Kiel
5 : 0 Dornbreite Lubeck
03 May
Dornbreite Lubeck
3 : 3 Nordmark Satrup
26 Apr
Rotenhof
4 : 0 Dornbreite Lubeck
12 Apr
Dornbreite Lubeck
0 : 9 PSV Neumunster
Page 1 of 6
09 May
Kilia Kiel
5 : 0 Dornbreite Lubeck
26 Apr
Rotenhof
4 : 0 Dornbreite Lubeck
22 Mar
Oldenburger SV
0 : 3 Dornbreite Lubeck
08 Mar
TSB Flensburg
7 : 2 Dornbreite Lubeck
17 Nov
VfR Neumunster
5 : 2 Dornbreite Lubeck
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kilia Kiel | 30 | 22 | 8 | 0 | 109:43 | 74 |
| 2 | Heider SV | 30 | 21 | 5 | 4 | 90:41 | 68 |
| 3 | PSV Neumunster | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 83:36 | 62 |
| 4 | Eichede | 30 | 17 | 8 | 5 | 64:27 | 59 |
| 5 | Nordmark Satrup | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 62:52 | 41 |
| 6 | Preussen Reinfeld | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 54:56 | 41 |
| 7 | Hohenwestedt | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 50:64 | 40 |
| 8 | Oldenburger SV | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 66:68 | 38 |
| 9 | Eutin 08 | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 49:54 | 37 |
| 10 | Rotenhof | 30 | 10 | 5 | 15 | 58:68 | 35 |
| 11 | VfR Neumunster | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 55:67 | 35 |
| 12 | Lubeck II | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 51:68 | 33 |
| 13 | Eckernforder SV | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 53:68 | 32 |
| 14 | TSB Flensburg | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 51:70 | 31 |
| 15 | Eidertal Molfsee | 30 | 7 | 6 | 17 | 44:85 | 27 |
| 16 | Dornbreite Lubeck | 30 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 32:104 | 13 |
Promotion - Oberliga Hessen 2024/2025 (Promotion)
