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Tshakhuma Tsha Madzivhandila vs Orlando Pirates

South Africa South Africa

Nedbank Cup
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
De Jong A.
(Penalty)
17' Event
Mbatha T.
39' Event
Ngobe S.

AI Match Summary

The Nedbank Cup game between Tshakhuma Tsha Madzivhandila and Orlando Pirates finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Orlando Pirates.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Tshakhuma Tsha Madzivhandila
6%
Draws
90%
Orlando Pirates
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Orlando Pirates

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Orlando Pirates carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Orlando Pirates's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Cup games in Nedbank Cup usually bring a different intensity than the league.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Tshakhuma Tsha Madzivhandila Clean Sheet 11%
Orlando Pirates Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tshakhuma Tsha Madzivhandila Orlando Pirates
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 5 21
Draws 5 6
Losses 20 2
Goals Scored 0 2.5
Goals Conceded 0 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 7, 2026 Nedbank Cup
Tshakhuma Tsha Madzivhandila vs Orlando Pirates
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tshakhuma Tsha Madzivhandila Compare

Top Goalscorer Ngobe S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Orlando Pirates Compare

Top Goalscorer Mbatha T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Maswanganyi P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tshakhuma Tsha Madzivhandila 10 / 100
Orlando Pirates 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tshakhuma Tsha Madzivhandila Orlando Pirates

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ORL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Tshakhuma Tsha Madzivhandila found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Orlando Pirates conceded in 38% of 29 recent games.

Tshakhuma Tsha Madzivhandila has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Orlando Pirates
0 Goals Scored 2.5
0 Goals Conceded 0.63
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
TS Galaxy-
TBD-
TBD-
Marumo Gallants-
Mamelodi Sundowns-
TBD-
The Bees0
Gomora United1
Cardinals-
TBD-
TBD-
Jacksa Spears-
Vasco Da Gama-
TBD-
TBD-
Luthuli Brigades-
Hungry Lions2
Venda1
Leicesterford City1
Pretoria U.2
Kruger United0
Highbury3
TBD-
Sekhukhune-
SSU M-17-
TBD-
Milford2
Baroka0
Mkhambathi-
TBD-
Lerumo Lions1
Midlands Wanderers0
Golden Arrows-
TBD-
TBD-
Orbit College-
Stellenbosch FC-
TBD-
TBD-
Kaizer Chiefs-
Cape Town City0
Upington City1
TBD-
Magesi-
Durban City-
TBD-
TBD-
Chippa Utd.-
Polokwane City-
TBD-
TBD-
AmaZulu-
Siwelele-
TBD-
TBD-
Richards Bay-
Army Rocket-
TBD-
Black Leopards0
Casric Stars1
Tshakhuma Tsha Madzivhandila-
TBD-
TBD-
Orlando Pirates-
1/16-finals
TS Galaxy1
Marumo Gallants0
Mamelodi Sundowns2
Gomora United1
Cardinals2
Jacksa Spears4
Vasco Da Gama4
Luthuli Brigades1
Hungry Lions1
Pretoria U.2
Highbury0
Sekhukhune1
SSU M-171
Milford2
Mkhambathi2
Lerumo Lions1
Golden Arrows3
Orbit College0
Stellenbosch FC2
Kaizer Chiefs1
Upington City1
Magesi0
Durban City1
Chippa Utd.0
Polokwane City1
AmaZulu2
Siwelele3
Richards Bay4
Army Rocket0
Casric Stars3
Tshakhuma Tsha Madzivhandila1
Orlando Pirates4
1/8-finals
TS Galaxy2
Mamelodi Sundowns0
Jacksa Spears1
Vasco Da Gama0
Pretoria U.0
Sekhukhune1
Milford3
Mkhambathi0
Golden Arrows1
Stellenbosch FC0
Upington City0
Durban City1
AmaZulu1
Richards Bay0
Casric Stars1
Orlando Pirates0
Quarter-finals
TS Galaxy2
Jacksa Spears0
Sekhukhune2
Milford3
Golden Arrows1
Durban City2
AmaZulu1
Casric Stars2
Semi-finals
TS Galaxy2
Milford1
Durban City1
Casric Stars0
Final
TS Galaxy1
Durban City2