Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tshinkunku vs Lubumbashi Sport

DR Congo DR Congo

Ligue 1
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 1 game between Tshinkunku and Lubumbashi Sport finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tshinkunku.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

11%
Tshinkunku
20%
Draws
69%
Lubumbashi Sport
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lubumbashi Sport

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Lubumbashi Sport carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Lubumbashi Sport are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Ligue 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Tshinkunku Clean Sheet 20%
Lubumbashi Sport Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tshinkunku Lubumbashi Sport
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 11
Draws 10 10
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 0.77 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.37 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 4, 2026 Ligue 1
Tshinkunku vs Lubumbashi Sport
1:0
Nov 18, 2025 Ligue 1
Lubumbashi Sport vs Tshinkunku
0:0
Mar 13, 2025 Ligue 1
Tshinkunku vs Lubumbashi Sport
0:0
Nov 17, 2024 Ligue 1
Tshinkunku vs Lubumbashi Sport
0:0
Oct 9, 2024 Ligue 1
Lubumbashi Sport vs Tshinkunku
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tshinkunku 10 / 100
Lubumbashi Sport 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tshinkunku Lubumbashi Sport

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lubumbashi Sport Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lubumbashi Sport has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Attacking prowess: Tshinkunku scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 0.60 goals.

Solid form: Tshinkunku remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Tshinkunku VS Lubumbashi Sport
0.5 Goals Scored 0.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
38% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Tshinkunku

(Home)
15 Apr
Tanganyika
3 : 2
Tshinkunku
08 Apr
Mazembe
3 : 1
Tshinkunku
29 Mar
Sanga Balende
1 : 0
Tshinkunku
25 Mar
Tshinkunku
0 : 0
Don Bosco
18 Mar
Tshinkunku
0 : 0
St Eloi Lupopo
Page 1 of 6

Lubumbashi Sport

(Away)
02 Apr
Lubumbashi Sport
3 : 2
Tanganyika
30 Mar
Lubumbashi Sport
2 : 1
US Panda
26 Mar
Lubumbashi Sport
3 : 1
Tshikas
22 Mar
New Soger
4 : 2
Lubumbashi Sport
07 Mar
Simba
1 : 2
Lubumbashi Sport
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mazembe 30 23 4 3 57:12 73
2 St Eloi Lupopo 30 19 6 5 55:27 63
3 Don Bosco 30 16 8 6 43:24 56
4 Simba 30 14 8 8 33:27 50
5 Manika 30 12 12 6 31:20 48
6 Tanganyika 30 13 5 12 38:32 44
7 Lubumbashi Sport 30 11 10 9 27:26 43
8 Blessing 30 11 7 12 33:31 40
9 Sanga Balende 30 10 6 14 25:34 36
10 Saint-Luc 30 9 8 13 21:33 35
11 Malole 30 9 6 15 34:39 33
12 New Soger 30 9 6 15 29:40 33
13 Tshinkunku 30 7 10 13 23:41 31
14 Groupe Bazano 30 7 9 14 26:38 30
15 Tshikas 30 6 10 14 25:40 28
16 US Panda 30 5 1 24 17:59 16
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AS Maniema 27 13 13 1 38:10 52
2 AS Vita Club 27 13 11 3 35:13 50
3 Aigles du Congo 26 13 9 4 32:16 48
4 Dauphins Noirs 26 13 6 7 35:20 45
5 Celeste 26 12 8 6 36:13 44
6 Etoile de Kivu 26 10 6 10 34:35 36
7 Motema Pembe 26 7 14 5 33:25 35
8 Anges Verts 26 6 11 9 26:32 29
9 New Jack 26 6 11 9 20:26 29
10 AC Rangers 27 7 8 12 21:35 29
11 FC MK Etancheite 26 6 8 12 15:35 26
12 FC Renaissance 27 4 13 10 21:40 25
13 OC Renaissance 26 4 10 12 14:33 22
14 Bukavu Dawa 26 2 8 16 10:37 14
15 Martin Pecheur 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Championship Group)