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Tsirang vs BFF Academy U19

Bhutan Bhutan

Premier League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tsirang play BFF Academy U19 in the Premier League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Tsirang averaged 1.39 goals scored and 2 conceded. BFF Academy U19 averaged 1.93 goals scored and 2 conceded. In past meetings, Tsirang won 1, BFF Academy U19 won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 11, 2026 ended 2:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.81 for Tsirang and 1.81 for BFF Academy U19. This points to a BFF Academy U19 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Tsirang
20%
Draws
46%
BFF Academy U19
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: BFF Academy U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence
  • Tsirang picked up more points recently compared to BFF Academy U19.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.81 vs 1.81 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 68%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 86%
Over 2.5 Goals 68%
Over 3.5 Goals 41%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64%
Tsirang Clean Sheet 11%
BFF Academy U19 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 82%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tsirang BFF Academy U19
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 8 12
Draws 8 4
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 1.39 1.93
Goals Conceded 2 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2026 Premier League
Tsirang vs BFF Academy U19
2:4
Oct 5, 2025 Premier League
Tsirang vs BFF Academy U19
2:3
Jul 13, 2025 Premier League
BFF Academy U19 vs Tsirang
1:1
Sep 4, 2024 Premier League
Tsirang vs BFF Academy U19
1:0
Jun 9, 2024 Premier League
BFF Academy U19 vs Tsirang
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tsirang Compare

Top Goalscorer Okwudili M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Stalin S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

BFF Academy U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Yezer T.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Dorji S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tsirang 33 / 100
BFF Academy U19 43 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tsirang BFF Academy U19

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: BFF Academy U19 or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +30.9%
3.85
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.5%
1.61
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Tsirang attacking → ← attacking BFF Academy U19

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tsirang scored in 68% of their last 31 games.

BFF Academy U19 let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Tsirang went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

BFF Academy U19 lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

32 Points in last 5 40
1.38 Goals expected (xG) 2.13
1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.25

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Paro861131:719
2Thimphu City852119:617
3Transport United850312:1115
4RTC942311:1114
5Thimphu FC84139:913
6Tsirang932414:1511
7BFF Academy U19831415:1710
8Drukpa823313:109
9Tensung81253:155
10Ugyen Academy81077:333