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Tsirang vs Thimphu City - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bhutan Bhutan

Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Willane A.
26' Event
Sadick S.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Tsirang and Thimphu City finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

17%
Tsirang
15%
Draws
68%
Thimphu City
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Thimphu City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Thimphu City carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Thimphu City's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Thimphu City have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Tsirang Clean Sheet 10%
Thimphu City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tsirang Thimphu City
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 8 24
Draws 6 5
Losses 16 4
Goals Scored 1.57 3.15
Goals Conceded 2.57 1.09
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 3.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 7, 2026 Premier League
Tsirang vs Thimphu City
1:1
Jul 4, 2026 Premier League
Thimphu City vs Tsirang
2:1
Aug 3, 2025 Premier League
Tsirang vs Thimphu City
3:5
Apr 22, 2025 Premier League
Thimphu City vs Tsirang
3:0
Sep 1, 2024 Premier League
Thimphu City vs Tsirang
7:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tsirang Compare

Top Goalscorer Willane A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Thimphu City Compare

Top Goalscorer Sadick S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.85
Avg xA / game 1.74

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tsirang 10 / 100
Thimphu City 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tsirang Thimphu City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Thimphu City Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.60 goals per match.

Tsirang's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Thimphu City has conceded goals in 67% of their last 33 outings.

Recent resilience: Tsirang stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tsirang VS Thimphu City
1.88 Goals Scored 3.25
3 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Tsirang

(Home)
27 Sept
Tsirang
1 : 4
Ugyen Academy
22 Sept
RTC
6 : 1
Tsirang
16 Sept
Tsirang
0 : 4
Thimphu FC
26 Aug
Paro
7 : 0
Tsirang
22 Aug
Tensung
1 : 3
Tsirang
Page 1 of 6

Thimphu City

(Away)
08 Oct
Thimphu City
0 : 2
Paro
23 Sept
Thimphu City
3 : 0
Transport United
19 Sept
BFF Academy U19
1 : 3
Thimphu City
13 Sept
Thimphu City
6 : 0
Ugyen Academy
10 Sept
RTC
1 : 2
Thimphu City
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Paro 18 16 1 1 74:12 49
2 Thimphu City 18 12 4 2 49:14 40
3 Thimphu FC 18 10 2 6 27:22 32
4 Transport United 18 9 3 6 28:24 30
5 RTC 18 8 4 6 29:20 28
6 Drukpa 18 6 6 6 36:29 24
7 BFF Academy U19 18 5 5 8 29:45 20
8 Tsirang 18 4 4 10 27:48 16
9 Tensung 18 2 2 14 14:53 8
10 Ugyen Academy 18 2 1 15 15:61 7
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