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Tsirang vs Thimphu City

Bhutan Bhutan

Premier League
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AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Tsirang and Thimphu City finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

5%
Tsirang
15%
Draws
80%
Thimphu City
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Thimphu City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Thimphu City carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Thimphu City's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Thimphu City have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Tsirang Clean Sheet 10%
Thimphu City Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tsirang Thimphu City
Matches Played 29 33
Wins 7 25
Draws 6 3
Losses 16 5
Goals Scored 1.63 2.5
Goals Conceded 1.63 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 7, 2026 Premier League
Tsirang vs Thimphu City
1:1
Jul 4, 2026 Premier League
Thimphu City vs Tsirang
2:1
Aug 3, 2025 Premier League
Tsirang vs Thimphu City
3:5
Apr 22, 2025 Premier League
Thimphu City vs Tsirang
3:0
Sep 1, 2024 Premier League
Thimphu City vs Tsirang
7:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tsirang 10 / 100
Thimphu City 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tsirang Thimphu City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick THI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.60 goals per match.

Tsirang's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Thimphu City has conceded goals in 64% of their last 33 outings.

Recent resilience: Tsirang stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tsirang VS Thimphu City
1.63 Goals Scored 2.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Tsirang

(Home)
26 Jul
Tsirang
0 : 2
Transport United
21 Jul
Tsirang
2 : 3
Drukpa
11 Jul
Tsirang
3 : 3
RTC
04 Jul
Thimphu City
2 : 1
Tsirang
29 Jun
Tsirang
0 : 2
Paro
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Thimphu City

(Away)
29 Jul
Thimphu City
7 : 1
Tensung
19 Jul
Thimphu City
2 : 0
Thimphu FC
15 Jul
Tensung
0 : 4
Thimphu City
04 Jul
Thimphu City
2 : 1
Tsirang
27 Jun
Ugyen Academy
1 : 7
Thimphu City
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Paro 12 10 1 1 44:10 31
2 Thimphu City 12 8 3 1 33:8 27
3 Transport United 12 8 1 3 19:12 25
4 RTC 12 5 3 4 13:13 18
5 Drukpa 12 4 4 4 24:18 16
6 Thimphu FC 12 5 1 6 12:19 16
7 BFF Academy U19 12 4 3 5 19:24 15
8 Tsirang 12 3 3 6 17:21 12
9 Tensung 12 1 2 9 6:33 5
10 Ugyen Academy 12 1 1 10 7:36 4
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