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Tsirang vs Ugyen Academy

Bhutan Bhutan

Premier League 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Kayode A.
40' Event
Samal B.
52' Event
Chodrup G.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2025 game between Tsirang and Ugyen Academy finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tsirang.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Tsirang
6%
Draws
4%
Ugyen Academy
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Tsirang

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ugyen Academy come out ahead of Tsirang on wins alone.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Tsirang taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Tsirang have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Tsirang Clean Sheet 16%
Ugyen Academy Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tsirang Ugyen Academy
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 8 9
Draws 7 1
Losses 15 19
Goals Scored 1.38 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.5 4.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 4.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 21, 2026 Premier League
Ugyen Academy vs Tsirang
2:3
Oct 2, 2025 Premier League
Tsirang vs Ugyen Academy
3:2
Jul 5, 2025 Premier League
Ugyen Academy vs Tsirang
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tsirang Compare

Top Goalscorer Samal B.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Kayode A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Ugyen Academy Compare

Top Goalscorer Chodrup G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Uraon P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tsirang 84 / 100
Ugyen Academy 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tsirang Ugyen Academy

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TSI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ugyen Academy has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.67 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Ugyen Academy has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Tsirang's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Tsirang VS Ugyen Academy
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 4.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 88%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Paro18161174:1749
2Thimphu City18141364:2343
3RTC18122462:1938
4Transport United18111646:2734
5BFF Academy U191883740:3627
6Ugyen Academy1881938:4125
7Tsirang18441021:4216
8Tensung18321317:4811
9Southern City18311415:5910
10Samtse18221422:878