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Tskhinvali vs Alazani Gurjaani

Georgia Georgia

Pirveli Liga 2002/2003
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tskhinvali play Alazani Gurjaani in the Pirveli Liga 2002/2003. It looks like a close match. Recently, Tskhinvali averaged 1.06 goals scored and 1.79 conceded. Alazani Gurjaani averaged 1 goals scored and 2.57 conceded. In past meetings, Tskhinvali won 1, Alazani Gurjaani won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 21, 2003 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.97 for Tskhinvali and 1.38 for Alazani Gurjaani. This points to a Tskhinvali double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Tskhinvali
20%
Draws
36%
Alazani Gurjaani
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Tskhinvali

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence
  • Tskhinvali picked up more points recently compared to Alazani Gurjaani.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.97 vs 1.38 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 65%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 85%
Over 2.5 Goals 65%
Over 3.5 Goals 39%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 45%
Tskhinvali Clean Sheet 17%
Alazani Gurjaani Clean Sheet 15%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 81%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tskhinvali Alazani Gurjaani
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 7 5
Draws 7 6
Losses 20 19
Goals Scored 1.06 1
Goals Conceded 1.79 2.57

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2003 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Tskhinvali vs Alazani Gurjaani
1:2
Sep 9, 2002 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Alazani Gurjaani vs Tskhinvali
0:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tskhinvali 43 / 100
Alazani Gurjaani 35 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tskhinvali Alazani Gurjaani

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Tskhinvali or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +22.3%
2.78
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.9%
1.69
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Tskhinvali attacking → ← attacking Alazani Gurjaani

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tskhinvali scored in 59% of their last 34 games.

Alazani Gurjaani let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Tskhinvali went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Alazani Gurjaani lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

28 Points in last 5 21
0.75 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00