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Tskhinvali vs Gagra

Georgia Georgia

Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2018
Tskhinvali Logo

Tskhinvali

1 - 1
FT
Gagra Logo

Gagra

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2018 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
Tskhinvali
35%
Draws
55%
Gagra
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Gagra

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

55% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Gagra lately — more wins on the board than Tskhinvali.
  • 55% — that's where the model lands on Gagra taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Tskhinvali Clean Sheet 20%
Gagra Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tskhinvali Gagra
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 4 10
Draws 7 13
Losses 19 9
Goals Scored 0.93 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.97 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 29, 2019 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Tskhinvali vs Gagra
2:5
Sep 23, 2019 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Gagra vs Tskhinvali
3:1
Jul 6, 2019 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Tskhinvali vs Gagra
2:2
May 4, 2019 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Gagra vs Tskhinvali
0:0
Nov 21, 2018 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Tskhinvali vs Gagra
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tskhinvali 10 / 100
Gagra 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tskhinvali Gagra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gagra Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gagra let in goals in 88% of their last 32 matches.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Tskhinvali scored in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Tskhinvali went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Gagra
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Tskhinvali

(Home)
29 Nov
Tskhinvali
2 : 5
Gagra
23 Nov
Guria
1 : 1
Tskhinvali
10 Nov
Tskhinvali
0 : 1
Kolkheti 1913
03 Nov
FC Zugdidi
3 : 0
Tskhinvali
28 Oct
Tskhinvali
1 : 1
Samtredia
Page 1 of 6

Gagra

(Away)
08 Aug
Dinamo Batumi
2 : 2
Gagra
02 Aug
FC Gareji Sagarejo
1 : 4
Gagra
27 Jul
Samtskhe
1 : 2
Gagra
15 Jul
Gagra
3 : 1
BKMA
11 Jul
Gagra
2 : 2
Urartu
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dinamo Batumi 36 23 7 6 60:22 76
2 WIT Georgia 36 18 11 7 43:23 65
3 Gagra 36 16 10 10 50:41 58
4 Merani Tbilisi 36 14 9 13 54:47 51
5 Telavi 36 12 12 12 45:43 48
6 Shevardeni Tbilisi 36 11 10 15 38:49 43
7 Shukura 36 11 8 17 48:56 41
8 Samgurali 36 12 5 19 40:56 41
9 Merani Martvili 36 8 12 16 36:47 36
10 Tskhinvali 36 10 6 20 36:66 36
Promotion - Erovnuli Liga 2019 (Main)
Promotion - Erovnuli Liga 2018 (Relegation)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2018 (Relegation)