Sport Picks
Tskhinvali vs Metalurgi Rustavi
Georgia
Umaglesi Liga 2014/2015 
Match Events
1'
1'
Ivanishvili G.
50'
50'
Korghalidze L.
58'
58'
Zviadadze L.
AI Match Summary
Tskhinvali in this Umaglesi Liga 2014/2015 matchup, with the score ending 7-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tskhinvali.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
35%
32%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
33%
/ Low Confidence
- Attack-wise there's a gap: Tskhinvali at 1.15 per game, Metalurgi Rustavi at 0.9.
- Model gives Tskhinvali a 33% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Tskhinvali Clean Sheet 17%
Metalurgi Rustavi Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Tskhinvali | Metalurgi Rustavi |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 34 | 30 |
| Wins | 6 | 6 |
| Draws | 8 | 8 |
| Losses | 20 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.15 | 0.9 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.91 | 1.67 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.97 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 17, 2015 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Tskhinvali vs Metalurgi Rustavi
7:2
Nov 30, 2014 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Metalurgi Rustavi vs Tskhinvali
1:1
Dec 9, 2013 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Tskhinvali vs Metalurgi Rustavi
2:0
Sep 13, 2013 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Metalurgi Rustavi vs Tskhinvali
1:0
Apr 10, 2013 Georgian Cup
Tskhinvali vs Metalurgi Rustavi
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Tskhinvali Compare
Top Goalscorer Kacharava N.
3 Goals Assists Leader Ivanishvili G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48
Metalurgi Rustavi Compare
Top Goalscorer Korghalidze L.
1 Goals Assists Leader Zviadadze L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Tskhinvali 39 / 100
Metalurgi Rustavi 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Tskhinvali Metalurgi Rustavi
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Tskhinvali Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.
Metalurgi Rustavi let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.
Away concern: Metalurgi Rustavi has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Tskhinvali's goal record stands at 56% scoring rate across 34 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Tskhinvali VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Tskhinvali
(Home) 29 Nov
Tskhinvali
2 : 5 Gagra
23 Nov
Guria
1 : 1 Tskhinvali
10 Nov
Tskhinvali
0 : 1 Kolkheti 1913
03 Nov
FC Zugdidi
3 : 0 Tskhinvali
28 Oct
Tskhinvali
1 : 1 Samtredia
Page 1 of 7
29 Nov
Tskhinvali
2 : 5 Gagra
10 Nov
Tskhinvali
0 : 1 Kolkheti 1913
28 Oct
Tskhinvali
1 : 1 Samtredia
18 Oct
Tskhinvali
0 : 1 Telavi
01 Oct
Tskhinvali
1 : 2 Shevardeni Tbilisi
Page 1 of 4
Metalurgi Rustavi
(Away) 27 May
Metalurgi Rustavi
0 : 5 Locomotive Tbilisi
22 May
Metalurgi Rustavi
1 : 1 Torpedo Kutaisi
17 May
Tskhinvali
7 : 2 Metalurgi Rustavi
13 May
Metalurgi Rustavi
0 : 0 WIT Georgia
08 May
Merani Martvili
3 : 0 Metalurgi Rustavi
Page 1 of 6
17 May
Tskhinvali
7 : 2 Metalurgi Rustavi
08 May
Merani Martvili
3 : 0 Metalurgi Rustavi
24 Apr
Kolkheti 1913
3 : 0 Metalurgi Rustavi
19 Apr
Samtredia
2 : 1 Metalurgi Rustavi
03 Apr
FC Zestaponi
2 : 0 Metalurgi Rustavi
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dila Gori | 30 | 19 | 7 | 4 | 50:21 | 64 |
| 2 | Dinamo Batumi | 30 | 18 | 4 | 8 | 40:24 | 58 |
| 3 | Dinamo Tbilisi | 30 | 17 | 7 | 6 | 56:28 | 58 |
| 4 | Tskhinvali | 30 | 16 | 5 | 9 | 47:37 | 53 |
| 5 | Chikhura Sachkhere | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 39:36 | 46 |
| 6 | Samtredia | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 40:31 | 45 |
| 7 | Shukura | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 36:38 | 41 |
| 8 | Torpedo Kutaisi | 30 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 39:33 | 41 |
| 9 | Guria | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 38:43 | 39 |
| 10 | Kolkheti 1913 | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 31:31 | 37 |
| 11 | Merani Martvili | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 29:33 | 36 |
| 12 | FC Zugdidi | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 24:45 | 33 |
| 13 | Bolnisi | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 32:46 | 32 |
| 14 | Metalurgi Rustavi | 30 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 25:46 | 26 |
| 15 | WIT Georgia | 30 | 7 | 5 | 18 | 27:40 | 26 |
| 16 | FC Zestaponi | 30 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 40:61 | 26 |
Relegation - Umaglesi Liga 2014/2015 (Relegation)
Promotion - Champions League 2015/2016 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2015/2016 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2015/2016 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2015/2016 (Qualification)
