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Stadium Background

TSV 1860 Rosenheim vs SV Erlbach - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Oberliga Bayern Süd
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

TSV 1860 Rosenheim in this Oberliga Bayern Süd matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored TSV 1860 Rosenheim.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

6%
TSV 1860 Rosenheim
30%
Draws
64%
SV Erlbach
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: SV Erlbach

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • SV Erlbach have won more games recently than TSV 1860 Rosenheim.
  • SV Erlbach are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
TSV 1860 Rosenheim Clean Sheet 14%
SV Erlbach Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric TSV 1860 Rosenheim SV Erlbach
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 7 14
Draws 8 7
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 1.68 1.41
Goals Conceded 2.54 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 0.56 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 4, 2026 Oberliga Bayern Süd
TSV 1860 Rosenheim vs SV Erlbach
1:0
Mar 25, 2023 Oberliga Bayern Süd
TSV 1860 Rosenheim vs SV Erlbach
0:2
Aug 19, 2022 Oberliga Bayern Süd
SV Erlbach vs TSV 1860 Rosenheim
2:0
Apr 9, 2016 Oberliga Bayern Süd
TSV 1860 Rosenheim vs SV Erlbach
1:0
Sep 13, 2015 Oberliga Bayern Süd
SV Erlbach vs TSV 1860 Rosenheim
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

TSV 1860 Rosenheim 10 / 100
SV Erlbach 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
TSV 1860 Rosenheim SV Erlbach

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SV Erlbach Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: TSV 1860 Rosenheim scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: SV Erlbach conceded in 52% of 29 recent games.

Solid form: TSV 1860 Rosenheim remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

TSV 1860 Rosenheim VS SV Erlbach
0.75 Goals Scored 1.13
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.38
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 13%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

TSV 1860 Rosenheim

(Home)
09 Oct
TSV 1860 Rosenheim
0 : 3
Pipinsried
02 Oct
Munich 1860 II
4 : 0
TSV 1860 Rosenheim
25 Sept
TSV 1860 Rosenheim
1 : 3
Kottern-St. Mang
18 Sept
FC Schwaig
1 : 1
TSV 1860 Rosenheim
12 Sept
Ismaning
4 : 2
TSV 1860 Rosenheim
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SV Erlbach

(Away)
09 Oct
SV Erlbach
3 : 1
Geretsried
03 Oct
Heimstetten
0 : 0
SV Erlbach
25 Sept
SV Erlbach
1 : 1
Pipinsried
18 Sept
Munich 1860 II
0 : 1
SV Erlbach
11 Sept
SV Erlbach
3 : 0
Kottern-St. Mang
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pipinsried 14 10 2 2 40:17 32
2 TSV 1880 Wasserburg 14 9 1 4 33:23 28
3 SV Erlbach 14 7 5 2 18:7 26
4 Landshut 14 7 4 3 27:16 25
5 Hankofen-Hailing 14 7 4 3 26:17 25
6 FC Schwaig 14 5 8 1 27:16 23
7 Pfaffenhofen 14 6 5 3 25:24 23
8 Ismaning 14 6 2 6 29:21 20
9 Munich 1860 II 14 4 5 5 28:27 17
10 Gundelfingen 14 4 5 5 21:22 17
11 Heimstetten 14 4 5 5 25:27 17
12 TSV Schwabmunchen 14 4 4 6 27:28 16
13 Kottern-St. Mang 14 4 4 6 12:18 16
14 Deisenhofen 14 3 4 7 19:31 13
15 Kirchanschoring 14 3 3 8 18:31 12
16 TSV 1860 Rosenheim 14 2 5 7 17:27 11
17 Geretsried 14 3 2 9 14:30 11
18 Schalding 14 2 4 8 18:42 10
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern (Relegation)
Relegation - Oberliga Bayern Nord (Relegation)