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TSV Aubstadt vs Illertissen - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Regionalliga Bayern
Tue, Oct 13, 2026
VS
04:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

TSV Aubstadt host Illertissen in the Regionalliga Bayern. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Illertissen have shipped 1.11 goals a game lately, while TSV Aubstadt have conceded 1.52 and scored 1.37. Head-to-head, TSV Aubstadt have won 0 to Illertissen's 5, with 0 draws. They last met on Apr 6, 2026, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 1.25 vs 1.81, favoring Illertissen. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
TSV Aubstadt
15%
Draws
85%
Illertissen
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Illertissen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Illertissen carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Illertissen's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular Regionalliga Bayern form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Illertissen have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
TSV Aubstadt Clean Sheet 11%
Illertissen Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric TSV Aubstadt Illertissen
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 8 16
Draws 6 5
Losses 13 7
Goals Scored 1.37 2.07
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.11
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2026 Regionalliga Bayern
Illertissen vs TSV Aubstadt
1:0
Sep 23, 2025 Regionalliga Bayern
TSV Aubstadt vs Illertissen
3:5
Nov 16, 2024 Regionalliga Bayern
TSV Aubstadt vs Illertissen
1:3
Aug 2, 2024 Regionalliga Bayern
Illertissen vs TSV Aubstadt
3:1
Apr 20, 2024 Regionalliga Bayern
TSV Aubstadt vs Illertissen
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

TSV Aubstadt 10 / 100
Illertissen 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
TSV Aubstadt Illertissen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Illertissen Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

TSV Aubstadt found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (27 games).

Illertissen has conceded goals in 64% of their last 28 outings.

Away concern: Illertissen has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

TSV Aubstadt VS Illertissen
0.88 Goals Scored 1.63
2 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

TSV Aubstadt

(Home)
03 Oct
TSV Aubstadt
0 : 1
Memmingen
26 Sept
Augsburg II
3 : 0
TSV Aubstadt
18 Sept
TSV Aubstadt
0 : 2
Bayern II
15 Sept
Bayreuth
1 : 0
TSV Aubstadt
11 Sept
TSV Aubstadt
2 : 3
Unterhaching
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Illertissen

(Away)
26 Sept
Vilzing
3 : 3
Illertissen
19 Sept
Illertissen
0 : 2
Memmingen
15 Sept
1. FC Schweinfurt
0 : 3
Illertissen
11 Sept
Illertissen
2 : 1
Nurnberg II
04 Sept
Eltersdorf
3 : 0
Illertissen
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Buchbach 12 8 3 1 25:11 27
2 Memmingen 12 7 3 2 14:7 24
3 Vfb Eichstatt 12 6 3 3 15:15 21
4 Munich 1860 11 5 5 1 24:13 20
5 Unterhaching 11 5 5 1 15:10 20
6 Illertissen 11 5 3 3 20:15 18
7 Burghausen 12 5 2 5 27:20 17
8 Bayreuth 12 5 1 6 22:18 16
9 Vilzing 11 4 4 3 18:18 16
10 Bayern II 11 4 3 4 14:12 15
11 Eltersdorf 11 4 3 4 17:16 15
12 Augsburg II 12 4 3 5 18:26 15
13 Nurnberg II 11 4 1 6 21:17 13
14 1. FC Schweinfurt 11 3 3 5 16:24 12
15 TSV Schwaben Augsburg 12 3 3 6 14:23 12
16 Furth II 11 3 2 6 15:18 11
17 Ansbach 11 3 1 7 10:25 10
18 TSV Aubstadt 11 2 2 7 14:20 8
19 Landsberg 11 1 4 6 10:21 7
Promotion - Regionalliga North (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Regionalliga Bayern 2025/2026 (Relegation)