Sport Picks

Stadium Background

TSV Concordia vs ETSV Hamburg Prediction & H2H Stats

Germany Germany

Oberliga Hamburg 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Siemsen Y.
Own Goal
60' Event
Agyemang J.
82' Event
Lenz O. M.

AI Match Summary

TSV Concordia in this Oberliga Hamburg 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored TSV Concordia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
TSV Concordia
15%
Draws
32%
ETSV Hamburg
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: TSV Concordia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to ETSV Hamburg lately — more wins on the board than TSV Concordia.
  • 53% — that's where the model lands on TSV Concordia taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
TSV Concordia Clean Sheet 10%
ETSV Hamburg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric TSV Concordia ETSV Hamburg
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 7 17
Draws 5 4
Losses 17 7
Goals Scored 1.55 3.14
Goals Conceded 2.62 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 14, 2026 Oberliga Hamburg
TSV Concordia vs ETSV Hamburg
1:4
Mar 21, 2025 Oberliga Hamburg
TSV Concordia vs ETSV Hamburg
2:1
Oct 6, 2024 Oberliga Hamburg
ETSV Hamburg vs TSV Concordia
1:2
Jan 26, 2024 Oberliga Hamburg
TSV Concordia vs ETSV Hamburg
1:1
Aug 11, 2023 Oberliga Hamburg
ETSV Hamburg vs TSV Concordia
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

TSV Concordia Compare

Top Goalscorer Agyemang J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

ETSV Hamburg Compare

Top Goalscorer Lenz O. M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

TSV Concordia 65 / 100
ETSV Hamburg 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
TSV Concordia ETSV Hamburg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TSV Concordia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

TSV Concordia scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: ETSV Hamburg conceded in 68% of 28 recent games.

Recent resilience: TSV Concordia stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

TSV Concordia VS ETSV Hamburg
1.75 Goals Scored 2.5
2.25 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

TSV Concordia

(Home)
02 Oct
Niendorfer TSV
1 : 2
TSV Concordia
27 Sept
TSV Concordia
2 : 3
Paloma
20 Sept
Tesla Hamburg
2 : 2
TSV Concordia
11 Sept
TSV Concordia
4 : 2
Eintracht Norderstedt II
04 Sept
Harksheide
1 : 3
TSV Concordia
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ETSV Hamburg

(Away)
04 Oct
Paloma
1 : 4
ETSV Hamburg
27 Sept
ETSV Hamburg
2 : 1
Tesla Hamburg
11 Sept
ETSV Hamburg
2 : 3
Harksheide
28 Aug
ETSV Hamburg
1 : 4
TSV Buchholz 08
21 Aug
ETSV Hamburg
2 : 3
HEBC Hamburg
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Altona 34 25 7 2 99:30 82
2 Dassendorf 34 26 4 4 98:32 82
3 Eimsbutteler 34 22 4 8 96:48 70
4 Paloma 34 22 4 8 84:54 70
5 ETSV Hamburg 34 20 3 11 96:50 63
6 Niendorfer TSV 34 18 7 9 78:44 61
7 HEBC Hamburg 34 16 5 13 56:45 53
8 Vorwarts-Wacker 34 15 5 14 86:97 50
9 TSV Buchholz 08 34 14 4 16 70:76 46
10 Suderelbe 34 13 5 16 70:83 44
11 SC Victoria Hamburg 34 12 5 17 69:73 41
12 Sasel 34 11 7 16 60:73 40
13 Turkiye Wilhelmsburg 34 10 6 18 73:94 36
14 Harksheide 34 9 8 17 63:89 35
15 Halstenbek-Rellingen 34 10 5 19 53:83 35
16 TSV Concordia 34 8 5 21 47:88 29
17 Alsterbruder 34 7 4 23 37:90 25
18 Hamburger III 34 3 2 29 45:131 11
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