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TSV Essingen vs FC Nottingen - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Oberliga Baden-Württemberg
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AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Baden-Württemberg game between TSV Essingen and FC Nottingen finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward TSV Essingen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
TSV Essingen
15%
Draws
39%
FC Nottingen
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: TSV Essingen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • TSV Essingen haven't matched FC Nottingen's recent run of results.
  • 39% — that's where the model lands on FC Nottingen taking it.
  • Regular Oberliga Baden-Württemberg form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
TSV Essingen Clean Sheet 10%
FC Nottingen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric TSV Essingen FC Nottingen
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 13
Draws 9 2
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 1.59 2.3
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Oberliga Baden-Württemberg
TSV Essingen vs FC Nottingen
2:1
May 22, 2026 Oberliga Baden-Württemberg
FC Nottingen vs TSV Essingen
1:1
Nov 8, 2025 Oberliga Baden-Württemberg
TSV Essingen vs FC Nottingen
6:2
Apr 26, 2025 Oberliga Baden-Württemberg
FC Nottingen vs TSV Essingen
1:1
Oct 12, 2024 Oberliga Baden-Württemberg
TSV Essingen vs FC Nottingen
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

TSV Essingen 14 / 100
FC Nottingen 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
TSV Essingen FC Nottingen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Nottingen Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: FC Nottingen conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

TSV Essingen scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Recent resilience: TSV Essingen stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

TSV Essingen VS FC Nottingen
1.13 Goals Scored 2.25
1.88 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

TSV Essingen

(Home)
10 Oct
TSV Essingen
3 : 1
Reutlingen
03 Oct
FC 08 Villingen
1 : 0
TSV Essingen
26 Sept
TSV Essingen
2 : 1
FC Nottingen
19 Sept
Teningen
2 : 1
TSV Essingen
12 Sept
TSV Essingen
2 : 2
1. FC Muhlhausen
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FC Nottingen

(Away)
10 Oct
Ravensburg
1 : 3
FC Nottingen
03 Oct
FC Nottingen
10 : 0
Turkspor Neckarsulm
26 Sept
TSV Essingen
2 : 1
FC Nottingen
18 Sept
FC Nottingen
2 : 3
Young Boys Reutlingen
13 Sept
Turkish SV Singen
4 : 3
FC Nottingen
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Oberachern 11 7 2 2 22:9 23
2 Backnang 10 6 3 1 25:12 21
3 FC 08 Villingen 10 6 2 2 21:11 20
4 Reutlingen 11 6 2 3 18:15 20
5 Young Boys Reutlingen 10 5 4 1 23:13 19
6 1. CfR Pforzheim 11 5 2 4 21:19 17
7 Holzhausen FC 11 5 2 4 18:17 17
8 Bahlinger 11 4 5 2 16:16 17
9 Ravensburg 11 4 4 3 19:14 16
10 1. FC Muhlhausen 10 5 1 4 22:23 16
11 Karlsruher II 10 3 4 3 16:18 13
12 Balingen 11 3 3 5 17:18 12
13 TSV Essingen 11 3 3 5 13:18 12
14 Teningen 11 4 0 7 18:27 12
15 Turkish SV Singen 10 3 1 6 13:19 10
16 FC Nottingen 11 3 0 8 24:20 9
17 Turkspor Neckarsulm 10 3 0 7 10:26 9
18 FC Normannia Gmund 10 1 0 9 8:29 3
Promotion - Regionalliga Sudwest 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein (Promotion - Play Offs)