Sport Picks

Stadium Background

TSV Essingen vs Fellbach

Germany Germany

Oberliga Baden-Württemberg 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Melo D.
57'
Berisha B.
90' Event
Egle Y.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Oberliga Baden-Württemberg 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
TSV Essingen
20%
Draws
7%
Fellbach
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: TSV Essingen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Fellbach haven't matched TSV Essingen's recent run of results.
  • 73% — that's where the model lands on TSV Essingen taking it.
  • Regular Oberliga Baden-Württemberg 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
TSV Essingen Clean Sheet 20%
Fellbach Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric TSV Essingen Fellbach
Matches Played 35 31
Wins 15 7
Draws 12 3
Losses 8 21
Goals Scored 1.89 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.43 2.68
Expected Goals (xG) 1.73 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 7, 2024 Oberliga Baden-Württemberg
TSV Essingen vs Fellbach
1:1
Aug 17, 2024 Oberliga Baden-Württemberg
Fellbach vs TSV Essingen
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

TSV Essingen Compare

Top Goalscorer Melo D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.33
Avg xA / game 0.86

Fellbach Compare

Top Goalscorer Egle Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

TSV Essingen 85 / 100
Fellbach 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
TSV Essingen Fellbach

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TSV Essingen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

TSV Essingen found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (35 games).

Fellbach has conceded goals in 90% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: TSV Essingen stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

TSV Essingen VS -
2.25 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

TSV Essingen

(Home)
22 Aug
TSV Essingen
1 : 2
Turkspor Neckarsulm
15 Aug
TSV Essingen
3 : 1
Balingen
08 Aug
Young Boys Reutlingen
1 : 1
TSV Essingen
12 Jul
TSV Essingen
4 : 0
Ansbach
04 Jul
Memmingen
3 : 5
TSV Essingen
Page 1 of 7

Fellbach

(Away)
20 Jan
Fellbach
3 : 3
Backnang
12 Jul
Fellbach
1 : 7
VfB Stuttgart
31 May
Fellbach
0 : 6
Reutlingen
24 May
Bietigheim-Bissingen
3 : 1
Fellbach
16 May
Fellbach
0 : 2
Leinfelden-Echterdingen
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sonnenhof Grossaspach 34 31 2 1 109:26 95
2 Balingen 34 24 4 6 78:44 76
3 VfR Mannheim 34 20 7 7 71:41 67
4 Aalen 34 17 9 8 61:32 60
5 1. CfR Pforzheim 34 18 6 10 65:44 60
6 Oberachern 34 15 7 12 50:41 52
7 FC Nottingen 34 15 5 14 73:53 50
8 Backnang 34 14 8 12 60:49 50
9 Reutlingen 34 13 10 11 57:52 49
10 TSV Essingen 34 14 6 14 46:45 48
11 Hollenbach 34 14 6 14 54:60 48
12 FC Normannia Gmund 34 14 3 17 62:65 45
13 Bietigheim-Bissingen 34 12 7 15 54:63 43
14 Ravensburg 34 9 11 14 40:52 38
15 Fellbach 34 9 3 22 35:84 30
16 Zuzenhausen 34 8 3 23 42:87 27
17 Leinfelden-Echterdingen 34 5 3 26 38:83 18
18 FC 08 Villingen II 34 4 0 30 30:104 12
Promotion - Regionalliga Sudwest 2025/2026 (Main)
Promotion - Oberliga Hessen 2024/2025 (Promotion)