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TSV Grafenstein vs ATSV Wolfsberger

Austria Austria

Karnten 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Karnten 2025/2026 game between TSV Grafenstein and ATSV Wolfsberger finished 3-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward ATSV Wolfsberger.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
TSV Grafenstein
35%
Draws
13%
ATSV Wolfsberger
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: TSV Grafenstein

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • TSV Grafenstein haven't matched ATSV Wolfsberger's recent run of results.
  • 52% — that's where the model lands on TSV Grafenstein taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
TSV Grafenstein Clean Sheet 20%
ATSV Wolfsberger Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric TSV Grafenstein ATSV Wolfsberger
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 12
Draws 8 9
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.87 2
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 2.56 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2026 Karnten
TSV Grafenstein vs ATSV Wolfsberger
3:4
Oct 3, 2025 Karnten
ATSV Wolfsberger vs TSV Grafenstein
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

TSV Grafenstein 85 / 100
ATSV Wolfsberger 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
TSV Grafenstein ATSV Wolfsberger

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TSV Grafenstein Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

TSV Grafenstein scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

ATSV Wolfsberger let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Recent resilience: TSV Grafenstein stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

TSV Grafenstein VS ATSV Wolfsberger
2.38 Goals Scored 0.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

TSV Grafenstein

(Home)
04 Sept
TSV Grafenstein
4 : 1
Nussdorf
28 Aug
Matrei
2 : 2
TSV Grafenstein
23 Aug
TSV Grafenstein
1 : 0
SAK Klagenfurt
14 Aug
SV Spittal
1 : 1
TSV Grafenstein
07 Aug
TSV Grafenstein
1 : 2
Lendorf
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ATSV Wolfsberger

(Away)
04 Sept
ATSV Wolfsberger
0 : 0
Donau Klagenfurt
28 Aug
Treibach
4 : 0
ATSV Wolfsberger
21 Aug
Atus Velden
4 : 0
ATSV Wolfsberger
14 Aug
ATSV Wolfsberger
0 : 5
Volkermarkt
08 Aug
Bleiburg
2 : 2
ATSV Wolfsberger
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