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TSV Grafenstein vs Atus Ferlach

Austria Austria

Karnten 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Karnten 2025/2026 game between TSV Grafenstein and Atus Ferlach finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward TSV Grafenstein.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
TSV Grafenstein
30%
Draws
19%
Atus Ferlach
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: TSV Grafenstein

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and TSV Grafenstein come out ahead of Atus Ferlach on wins alone.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on TSV Grafenstein taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
TSV Grafenstein Clean Sheet 19%
Atus Ferlach Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric TSV Grafenstein Atus Ferlach
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 9
Draws 7 9
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 2.13 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.57 2.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Karnten
TSV Grafenstein vs Atus Ferlach
5:0
Oct 18, 2025 Karnten
Atus Ferlach vs TSV Grafenstein
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

TSV Grafenstein 85 / 100
Atus Ferlach 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
TSV Grafenstein Atus Ferlach

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TSV Grafenstein Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

TSV Grafenstein scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Atus Ferlach conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: TSV Grafenstein stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

TSV Grafenstein VS Atus Ferlach
2.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

TSV Grafenstein

(Home)
18 Sept
TSV Grafenstein
6 : 2
Saint Michael Lavanttal
13 Sept
SC Landskron
1 : 4
TSV Grafenstein
04 Sept
TSV Grafenstein
4 : 1
Nussdorf
28 Aug
Matrei
2 : 2
TSV Grafenstein
23 Aug
TSV Grafenstein
1 : 0
SAK Klagenfurt
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Atus Ferlach

(Away)
18 Sept
Atus Ferlach
3 : 1
Lendorf
11 Sept
KAC 1909
1 : 0
Atus Ferlach
04 Sept
Atus Ferlach
2 : 2
SC St. Veit
29 Aug
Seeboden
1 : 1
Atus Ferlach
21 Aug
Atus Ferlach
1 : 2
Launsdorf
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