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TSV Grafenstein vs Nussdorf

Austria Austria

Karnten 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Karnten 2025/2026 game between TSV Grafenstein and Nussdorf finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
TSV Grafenstein
6%
Draws
4%
Nussdorf
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: TSV Grafenstein

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and TSV Grafenstein come out ahead of Nussdorf on wins alone.
  • Model gives TSV Grafenstein a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Karnten 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
TSV Grafenstein Clean Sheet 16%
Nussdorf Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric TSV Grafenstein Nussdorf
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 7
Draws 8 2
Losses 10 21
Goals Scored 2.63 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.63 2.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 2.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 2, 2026 Karnten
TSV Grafenstein vs Nussdorf
2:2
Aug 17, 2025 Karnten
Nussdorf vs TSV Grafenstein
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

TSV Grafenstein 84 / 100
Nussdorf 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
TSV Grafenstein Nussdorf

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TSV Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: TSV Grafenstein scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Nussdorf conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: TSV Grafenstein stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

TSV Grafenstein VS Nussdorf
2.63 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

TSV Grafenstein

(Home)
10 Jul
Treibach
1 : 6
TSV Grafenstein
03 Jun
TSV Grafenstein
3 : 2
Dellach/Gail
29 May
Volkermarkt
5 : 3
TSV Grafenstein
23 May
TSV Grafenstein
5 : 0
Atus Ferlach
16 May
Matrei
1 : 3
TSV Grafenstein
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Nussdorf

(Away)
03 Jun
Nussdorf
1 : 0
Asko Kottmannsdorf
29 May
Dellach/Gail
2 : 1
Nussdorf
22 May
Nussdorf
3 : 0
Volkermarkt
16 May
Atus Ferlach
4 : 2
Nussdorf
14 May
Nussdorf
0 : 1
Matrei
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