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TSV Grafenstein vs Saint Michael Lavanttal

Austria Austria

Karnten
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Karnten game between TSV Grafenstein and Saint Michael Lavanttal finished 6-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward TSV Grafenstein.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
TSV Grafenstein
20%
Draws
28%
Saint Michael Lavanttal
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: TSV Grafenstein

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and TSV Grafenstein come out ahead of Saint Michael Lavanttal on wins alone.
  • TSV Grafenstein are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
TSV Grafenstein Clean Sheet 16%
Saint Michael Lavanttal Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric TSV Grafenstein Saint Michael Lavanttal
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 13 5
Draws 7 5
Losses 10 19
Goals Scored 2.13 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.63 2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 18, 2026 Karnten
TSV Grafenstein vs Saint Michael Lavanttal
6:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

TSV Grafenstein 84 / 100
Saint Michael Lavanttal 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
TSV Grafenstein Saint Michael Lavanttal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TSV Grafenstein Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

TSV Grafenstein scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Saint Michael Lavanttal has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 8.00 goals.

Solid form: TSV Grafenstein remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

TSV Grafenstein VS Saint Michael Lavanttal
2.5 Goals Scored 1.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

TSV Grafenstein

(Home)
18 Sept
TSV Grafenstein
6 : 2
Saint Michael Lavanttal
13 Sept
SC Landskron
1 : 4
TSV Grafenstein
04 Sept
TSV Grafenstein
4 : 1
Nussdorf
28 Aug
Matrei
2 : 2
TSV Grafenstein
23 Aug
TSV Grafenstein
1 : 0
SAK Klagenfurt
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Saint Michael Lavanttal

(Away)
18 Sept
TSV Grafenstein
6 : 2
Saint Michael Lavanttal
11 Sept
Nussdorf
0 : 5
Saint Michael Lavanttal
05 Sept
Saint Michael Lavanttal
0 : 3
SAK Klagenfurt
28 Aug
Lendorf
0 : 2
Saint Michael Lavanttal
22 Aug
Saint Michael Lavanttal
1 : 1
KAC 1909
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