Sport Picks

Stadium Background

TSV Kornburg vs Bamberg

Germany Germany

Oberliga Bayern Nord 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Bamberg in this Oberliga Bayern Nord 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bamberg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
TSV Kornburg
30%
Draws
33%
Bamberg
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: TSV Kornburg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Bamberg lately — more wins on the board than TSV Kornburg.
  • Win probability leans TSV Kornburg's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Bamberg here — 4 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
TSV Kornburg Clean Sheet 11%
Bamberg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric TSV Kornburg Bamberg
Matches Played 32 28
Wins 10 13
Draws 12 9
Losses 10 6
Goals Scored 1.41 1.64
Goals Conceded 1.84 1.11
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Oberliga Bayern Nord
TSV Kornburg vs Bamberg
1:4
Nov 25, 2025 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Bamberg vs TSV Kornburg
2:0
May 6, 2023 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Bamberg vs TSV Kornburg
2:0
Oct 7, 2022 Oberliga Bayern Nord
TSV Kornburg vs Bamberg
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

TSV Kornburg 56 / 100
Bamberg 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
TSV Kornburg Bamberg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TSV Kornburg Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

TSV Kornburg went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

TSV Kornburg's goal record stands at 78% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Defensive concern: Bamberg conceded in 68% of 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.75 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

TSV Kornburg VS Bamberg
1.75 Goals Scored 1.75
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

TSV Kornburg

(Home)
28 Aug
Stadeln
1 : 1
TSV Kornburg
21 Aug
TSV Kornburg
2 : 0
Fortuna Regensburg
18 Aug
Weiden
2 : 7
TSV Kornburg
14 Aug
TSV Kornburg
1 : 1
Bayern Hof
07 Aug
TSV Kornburg
1 : 0
Grossbardorf
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Bamberg

(Away)
29 Aug
Nordlingen
0 : 1
Bamberg
21 Aug
Bamberg
0 : 2
Wurzburger FV
18 Aug
Aschaffenburg
1 : 1
Bamberg
15 Aug
Bamberg
5 : 1
Regensburg II
07 Aug
Gebenbach
1 : 2
Bamberg
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Eltersdorf 32 21 2 9 55:30 65
2 Cham 32 17 8 7 58:35 59
3 ASV Neumarkt 32 18 5 9 68:50 59
4 Gebenbach 32 16 5 11 53:47 53
5 Bamberg 32 13 12 7 54:39 51
6 Weiden 32 13 11 8 57:39 50
7 Ingolstadt II 32 14 6 12 64:54 48
8 Fortuna Regensburg 32 12 9 11 66:58 45
9 Regensburg II 32 13 5 14 59:53 44
10 Bayern Hof 32 11 10 11 56:51 43
11 Neudrossenfeld 32 12 5 15 47:54 41
12 TSV Kornburg 32 9 13 10 48:50 40
13 Wurzburger FV 32 10 7 15 46:62 37
14 ATSV Erlangen 32 10 7 15 43:61 37
15 Stadeln 32 11 2 19 42:65 35
16 Coburg 32 9 3 20 44:81 30
17 Grossschwarzenlohe 32 4 8 20 35:66 20
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern (Main)
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Oberliga Bayern Nord 2025/2026 (Relegation)