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TSV Schwaben Augsburg vs Ansbach - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Regionalliga Bayern 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Nuhanovic D.
28' Event
Fackler-Stamm R.
39' Event
Mata K.

AI Match Summary

Ansbach in this Regionalliga Bayern 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ansbach.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
TSV Schwaben Augsburg
20%
Draws
57%
Ansbach
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ansbach

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Ansbach at 1.5 per game, TSV Schwaben Augsburg at 1.32.
  • Win probability leans Ansbach's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
TSV Schwaben Augsburg Clean Sheet 13%
Ansbach Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric TSV Schwaben Augsburg Ansbach
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 11 11
Draws 4 3
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 1.32 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.71 1.96
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 28, 2026 Regionalliga Bayern
Ansbach vs TSV Schwaben Augsburg
1:2
Apr 25, 2026 Regionalliga Bayern
TSV Schwaben Augsburg vs Ansbach
1:3
Oct 18, 2025 Regionalliga Bayern
Ansbach vs TSV Schwaben Augsburg
0:2
May 3, 2025 Regionalliga Bayern
TSV Schwaben Augsburg vs Ansbach
2:3
Oct 19, 2024 Regionalliga Bayern
Ansbach vs TSV Schwaben Augsburg
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

TSV Schwaben Augsburg Compare

Top Goalscorer Fackler-Stamm R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Ansbach Compare

Top Goalscorer Nuhanovic D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Mata K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

TSV Schwaben Augsburg 27 / 100
Ansbach 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
TSV Schwaben Augsburg Ansbach

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ansbach Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ansbach has conceded goals in 82% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

TSV Schwaben Augsburg scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

Recent resilience: TSV Schwaben Augsburg stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

TSV Schwaben Augsburg VS Ansbach
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

TSV Schwaben Augsburg

(Home)
03 Oct
TSV Schwaben Augsburg
3 : 1
Vilzing
25 Sept
Bayern II
4 : 3
TSV Schwaben Augsburg
19 Sept
TSV Schwaben Augsburg
1 : 1
Landsberg
15 Sept
Nurnberg II
5 : 0
TSV Schwaben Augsburg
11 Sept
Munich 1860
3 : 0
TSV Schwaben Augsburg
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Ansbach

(Away)
03 Oct
Munich 1860
4 : 0
Ansbach
26 Sept
Landsberg
1 : 2
Ansbach
19 Sept
Ansbach
3 : 2
Eltersdorf
15 Sept
Vilzing
1 : 1
Ansbach
12 Sept
Ansbach
1 : 0
Bayreuth
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nurnberg II 34 24 5 5 68:35 77
2 Wurzburger Kickers 34 22 9 3 74:25 75
3 Unterhaching 34 22 4 8 72:30 70
4 Illertissen 34 19 7 8 72:46 64
5 Vilzing 34 15 6 13 49:44 51
6 TSV Aubstadt 34 13 10 11 49:45 49
7 Vfb Eichstatt 34 12 12 10 48:37 48
8 Burghausen 34 13 8 13 46:50 47
9 Ansbach 34 13 7 14 54:65 46
10 Buchbach 34 13 7 14 54:69 46
11 Bayern II 34 14 6 14 61:52 45
12 Memmingen 34 10 12 12 43:47 42
13 Bayreuth 34 9 11 14 36:53 38
14 Augsburg II 34 9 7 18 37:48 34
15 TSV Schwaben Augsburg 34 9 7 18 39:60 34
16 Furth II 34 6 10 18 47:60 28
17 Aschaffenburg 34 6 8 20 31:71 26
18 Hankofen-Hailing 34 5 8 21 31:74 23
Promotion - Regionalliga Nordost 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Regionalliga Bayern 2025/2026 (Relegation)