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TSV Schwaben Augsburg vs Bayreuth - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Regionalliga Bayern
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
0 - 3
12:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Doll N.
50' Event
90' Event

AI Match Summary

TSV Schwaben Augsburg host Bayreuth in the Regionalliga Bayern. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Recent numbers: TSV Schwaben Augsburg at 1.3 goals for, 1.7 against; Bayreuth at 2.07 for, 1.3 against. Head-to-head, TSV Schwaben Augsburg have won 0 to Bayreuth's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on Mar 21, 2026, ending 2:0. Model xG sits at 1.44 vs 2.06, favoring Bayreuth. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
TSV Schwaben Augsburg
15%
Draws
59%
Bayreuth
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bayreuth

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Bayreuth lately — more wins on the board than TSV Schwaben Augsburg.
  • 59% — that's where the model lands on Bayreuth taking it.
  • Regular Regionalliga Bayern form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
TSV Schwaben Augsburg Clean Sheet 10%
Bayreuth Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric TSV Schwaben Augsburg Bayreuth
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 11 14
Draws 3 6
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.3 2.07
Goals Conceded 1.7 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Regionalliga Bayern
Bayreuth vs TSV Schwaben Augsburg
2:0
Sep 5, 2025 Regionalliga Bayern
TSV Schwaben Augsburg vs Bayreuth
2:2
Apr 19, 2025 Regionalliga Bayern
TSV Schwaben Augsburg vs Bayreuth
1:1
Oct 6, 2024 Regionalliga Bayern
Bayreuth vs TSV Schwaben Augsburg
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

TSV Schwaben Augsburg Compare

Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Bayreuth Compare

Top Goalscorer Doll N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

TSV Schwaben Augsburg 10 / 100
Bayreuth 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
TSV Schwaben Augsburg Bayreuth

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bayreuth Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.25 goals.

TSV Schwaben Augsburg's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Defensive concern: Bayreuth conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

Solid form: TSV Schwaben Augsburg remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

TSV Schwaben Augsburg VS Bayreuth
1.25 Goals Scored 1.88
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

TSV Schwaben Augsburg

(Home)
03 Oct
TSV Schwaben Augsburg
3 : 1
Vilzing
25 Sept
Bayern II
4 : 3
TSV Schwaben Augsburg
19 Sept
TSV Schwaben Augsburg
1 : 1
Landsberg
15 Sept
Nurnberg II
5 : 0
TSV Schwaben Augsburg
11 Sept
Munich 1860
3 : 0
TSV Schwaben Augsburg
Page 1 of 6

Bayreuth

(Away)
03 Oct
Bayreuth
5 : 0
Landsberg
25 Sept
Eltersdorf
2 : 4
Bayreuth
19 Sept
Bayreuth
0 : 2
Unterhaching
15 Sept
Bayreuth
1 : 0
TSV Aubstadt
12 Sept
Ansbach
1 : 0
Bayreuth
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Buchbach 12 8 3 1 25:11 27
2 Memmingen 12 7 3 2 14:7 24
3 Unterhaching 12 5 6 1 16:11 21
4 Vfb Eichstatt 12 6 3 3 15:15 21
5 Munich 1860 11 5 5 1 24:13 20
6 Illertissen 11 5 3 3 20:15 18
7 Burghausen 12 5 2 5 27:20 17
8 Bayreuth 12 5 1 6 22:18 16
9 Bayern II 12 4 4 4 15:13 16
10 Eltersdorf 12 4 4 4 18:17 16
11 Vilzing 11 4 4 3 18:18 16
12 Augsburg II 12 4 3 5 18:26 15
13 Nurnberg II 11 4 1 6 21:17 13
14 1. FC Schweinfurt 12 3 4 5 17:25 13
15 TSV Schwaben Augsburg 12 3 3 6 14:23 12
16 Furth II 11 3 2 6 15:18 11
17 Ansbach 11 3 1 7 10:25 10
18 TSV Aubstadt 11 2 2 7 14:20 8
19 Landsberg 11 1 4 6 10:21 7
Promotion - Regionalliga North (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Regionalliga Bayern 2025/2026 (Relegation)