Sport Picks

Stadium Background

TSV Schwabmunchen vs Bogen

Germany Germany

Oberliga Bayern Süd 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Bayern Süd 2016/2017 game between TSV Schwabmunchen and Bogen finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward TSV Schwabmunchen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

62%
TSV Schwabmunchen
30%
Draws
8%
Bogen
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: TSV Schwabmunchen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • TSV Schwabmunchen carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives TSV Schwabmunchen a 62% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Oberliga Bayern Süd 2016/2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
TSV Schwabmunchen Clean Sheet 10%
Bogen Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric TSV Schwabmunchen Bogen
Matches Played 36 30
Wins 9 6
Draws 5 4
Losses 22 20
Goals Scored 1.31 0.87
Goals Conceded 2.19 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2017 Oberliga Bayern Süd
TSV Schwabmunchen vs Bogen
4:0
Oct 15, 2016 Oberliga Bayern Süd
Bogen vs TSV Schwabmunchen
0:2
Nov 21, 2015 Oberliga Bayern Süd
Bogen vs TSV Schwabmunchen
5:3
Aug 2, 2015 Oberliga Bayern Süd
TSV Schwabmunchen vs Bogen
0:2
Apr 15, 2015 Oberliga Bayern Süd
Bogen vs TSV Schwabmunchen
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

TSV Schwabmunchen 83 / 100
Bogen 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
TSV Schwabmunchen Bogen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TSV Schwabmunchen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bogen let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

TSV Schwabmunchen's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 36 recent games.

Recent resilience: TSV Schwabmunchen stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

TSV Schwabmunchen VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
3 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
75% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

TSV Schwabmunchen

(Home)
19 Sept
TSV Schwabmunchen
3 : 3
Deisenhofen
12 Sept
Landshut
4 : 1
TSV Schwabmunchen
05 Sept
TSV Schwabmunchen
3 : 3
Hankofen-Hailing
29 Aug
Pfaffenhofen
0 : 3
TSV Schwabmunchen
22 Aug
TSV Schwabmunchen
8 : 1
Schalding
Page 1 of 8

Bogen

(Away)
08 Feb
Hankofen-Hailing
5 : 0
Bogen
03 Jun
Bogen
1 : 1
SB Chiemgau Traunstein
31 May
SB Chiemgau Traunstein
2 : 0
Bogen
20 May
Bogen
1 : 2
Ismaning
13 May
TSV Schwabmunchen
4 : 0
Bogen
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pullach 34 21 10 3 73:32 73
2 Unterfohring 34 21 6 7 62:42 69
3 Pipinsried 34 18 9 7 55:38 63
4 TSV Schwabmunchen 34 17 9 8 54:43 60
5 Dachau 34 18 6 10 56:49 60
6 Vilzing 34 14 10 10 47:48 52
7 Heimstetten 34 15 7 12 68:52 52
8 Kirchanschoring 34 13 9 12 40:39 48
9 Sonthofen 34 12 11 11 55:44 47
10 Rain/Lech 34 13 7 14 64:58 46
11 Ismaning 34 10 12 12 52:52 42
12 Kottern-St. Mang 34 10 9 15 64:72 39
13 Hankofen-Hailing 34 8 11 15 36:57 35
14 Wolfratshausen 34 10 4 20 44:66 34
15 Landsberg 34 9 7 18 46:65 34
16 Regensburg II 34 10 3 21 53:56 33
17 Bogen 34 8 7 19 34:62 31
18 Gundelfingen 34 6 9 19 39:67 27
Relegation - Oberliga Bayern Nord 2016/2017 (Relegation)
Relegation - Oberliga Bayern Nord 2016/2017 (Relegation)
Relegation - Oberliga Bayern Nord 2016/2017 (Relegation)
Relegation - Oberliga Bayern Nord 2016/2017 (Relegation)
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern 2017/2018 (Main)
Promotion - Oberliga Bayern Nord 2016/2017 (Play Offs)