Sport Picks

Stadium Background

TSV Schwabmunchen vs Geretsried

Germany Germany

Oberliga Bayern Nord 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Boyer L.
55' Event
Uhde T.
(Penalty)
81' Event
Pech F.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-1, with TSV Schwabmunchen advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
TSV Schwabmunchen
20%
Draws
22%
Geretsried
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: TSV Schwabmunchen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Geretsried carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on TSV Schwabmunchen taking it.
  • Geretsried arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor TSV Schwabmunchen, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
TSV Schwabmunchen Clean Sheet 16%
Geretsried Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric TSV Schwabmunchen Geretsried
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 4 10
Draws 3 8
Losses 22 13
Goals Scored 1.07 1.48
Goals Conceded 2.45 1.58
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Oberliga Bayern Süd
Geretsried vs TSV Schwabmunchen
0:0
May 31, 2025 Oberliga Bayern Nord
TSV Schwabmunchen vs Geretsried
2:1
May 28, 2025 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Geretsried vs TSV Schwabmunchen
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

TSV Schwabmunchen Compare

Top Goalscorer Boyer L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Geretsried Compare

Top Goalscorer Pech F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

TSV Schwabmunchen 84 / 100
Geretsried 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
TSV Schwabmunchen Geretsried

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TSV Schwabmunchen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Geretsried let in goals in 87% of their last 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.33 goals per match.

TSV Schwabmunchen has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Away concern: Geretsried has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

TSV Schwabmunchen VS Geretsried
2 Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

TSV Schwabmunchen

(Home)
12 Sept
Landshut
4 : 1
TSV Schwabmunchen
05 Sept
TSV Schwabmunchen
3 : 3
Hankofen-Hailing
29 Aug
Pfaffenhofen
0 : 3
TSV Schwabmunchen
22 Aug
TSV Schwabmunchen
8 : 1
Schalding
18 Aug
TSV Schwabmunchen
2 : 2
FC Schwaig
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Geretsried

(Away)
12 Sept
Deisenhofen
4 : 0
Geretsried
05 Sept
Geretsried
0 : 1
Landshut
28 Aug
Hankofen-Hailing
1 : 0
Geretsried
22 Aug
Geretsried
2 : 3
Pfaffenhofen
18 Aug
Schalding
1 : 5
Geretsried
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Luhe-Wildenau 0
Unterhaching II 2
Gebenbach 3
DJK Ammerthal 2
Stadeln 4
Munchberg 1
Frammersbach 3
Abtswind 1
Geretsried 6
TSV Grunwald 0
TSV Schwabmunchen 2
Sonthofen 1
Final
Unterhaching II 1
Gebenbach 3
Stadeln 6
Frammersbach 1
Geretsried 5
TSV Schwabmunchen 2