Sport Picks

Stadium Background

TSV Schwabmunchen vs Sonthofen

Germany Germany

Oberliga Bayern Nord 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Krist M.
39' Event
Boyer L.

AI Match Summary

TSV Schwabmunchen in this Oberliga Bayern Nord 2024/2025 tie, finishing 2-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
TSV Schwabmunchen
20%
Draws
22%
Sonthofen
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: TSV Schwabmunchen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sonthofen lately — more wins on the board than TSV Schwabmunchen.
  • Win probability leans TSV Schwabmunchen's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Sonthofen arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor TSV Schwabmunchen, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors TSV Schwabmunchen here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
TSV Schwabmunchen Clean Sheet 10%
Sonthofen Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric TSV Schwabmunchen Sonthofen
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 4 9
Draws 3 4
Losses 21 16
Goals Scored 1.11 1.17
Goals Conceded 2.46 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2025 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Sonthofen vs TSV Schwabmunchen
1:0
May 21, 2025 Oberliga Bayern Nord
TSV Schwabmunchen vs Sonthofen
2:0
Mar 9, 2019 Oberliga Bayern Süd
Sonthofen vs TSV Schwabmunchen
2:4
Aug 10, 2018 Oberliga Bayern Süd
TSV Schwabmunchen vs Sonthofen
3:1
Oct 31, 2017 Oberliga Bayern Süd
Sonthofen vs TSV Schwabmunchen
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

TSV Schwabmunchen Compare

Top Goalscorer Krist M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Boyer L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Sonthofen Compare

Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

TSV Schwabmunchen 83 / 100
Sonthofen 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
TSV Schwabmunchen Sonthofen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TSV Schwabmunchen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sonthofen let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

TSV Schwabmunchen found the back of the net in 61% of recent matches (28 games).

Recent resilience: TSV Schwabmunchen stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

TSV Schwabmunchen VS Sonthofen
0.88 Goals Scored 0
3.13 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 50%
88% Over 2.5 0%
75% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

TSV Schwabmunchen

(Home)
12 Sept
Landshut
4 : 1
TSV Schwabmunchen
05 Sept
TSV Schwabmunchen
3 : 3
Hankofen-Hailing
29 Aug
Pfaffenhofen
0 : 3
TSV Schwabmunchen
22 Aug
TSV Schwabmunchen
8 : 1
Schalding
18 Aug
TSV Schwabmunchen
2 : 2
FC Schwaig
Page 1 of 6

Sonthofen

(Away)
02 Jul
Illertissen
2 : 0
Sonthofen
24 May
Sonthofen
1 : 0
TSV Schwabmunchen
21 May
TSV Schwabmunchen
2 : 0
Sonthofen
17 May
Sonthofen
0 : 4
Deisenhofen
03 May
Sonthofen
0 : 1
Memmingen
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Luhe-Wildenau 0
Unterhaching II 2
Gebenbach 3
DJK Ammerthal 2
Stadeln 4
Munchberg 1
Frammersbach 3
Abtswind 1
Geretsried 6
TSV Grunwald 0
TSV Schwabmunchen 2
Sonthofen 1
Final
Unterhaching II 1
Gebenbach 3
Stadeln 6
Frammersbach 1
Geretsried 5
TSV Schwabmunchen 2