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Tuapse vs Dynamo Stavropol

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Group 1 2021/2022
Our Tip

Match Events

6'
Khugaev A.
7' Event
Solomatin P.
(Penalty)
14'
Yerkin A.

AI Match Summary

The FNL 2 - Group 1 2021/2022 game between Tuapse and Dynamo Stavropol finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tuapse.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Tuapse
15%
Draws
57%
Dynamo Stavropol
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dynamo Stavropol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Dynamo Stavropol come out ahead of Tuapse on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Dynamo Stavropol's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular FNL 2 - Group 1 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Dynamo Stavropol have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Tuapse Clean Sheet 20%
Dynamo Stavropol Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tuapse Dynamo Stavropol
Matches Played 30 47
Wins 11 17
Draws 2 10
Losses 17 20
Goals Scored 1.13 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.97 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 22, 2022 FNL 2 - Group 1
Tuapse vs Dynamo Stavropol
2:1
Sep 26, 2021 FNL 2 - Group 1
Dynamo Stavropol vs Tuapse
5:1
Jun 2, 2021 FNL 2 - Group 1
Dynamo Stavropol vs Tuapse
6:0
Nov 21, 2020 FNL 2 - Group 1
Tuapse vs Dynamo Stavropol
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tuapse Compare

Top Goalscorer Solomatin P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Dynamo Stavropol Compare

Top Goalscorer Pukhaev M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.07
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tuapse 12 / 100
Dynamo Stavropol 75 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tuapse Dynamo Stavropol

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dynamo Stavropol Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 5.25 goals.

Dynamo Stavropol's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 47 matches.

Dynamo Stavropol lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Tuapse scored in 47% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Dynamo Stavropol
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Tuapse

(Home)
05 Jun
FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye
5 : 0
Tuapse
30 May
Tuapse
0 : 4
Spartak Nalchik
22 May
Mashuk
1 : 3
Tuapse
16 May
Tuapse
0 : 5
Legion Makhachkala
12 May
Biolog
1 : 0
Tuapse
Page 1 of 6

Dynamo Stavropol

(Away)
19 Sept
Tyumen
2 : 1
Dynamo Stavropol
09 Sept
Dynamo Stavropol
1 : 2
Pari Nizhny Novgorod
05 Sept
Irtysh Omsk
0 : 1
Dynamo Stavropol
30 Aug
Dynamo Stavropol
1 : 2
Torpedo Miass
26 Aug
Dynamo Stavropol
1 : 0
Astrakhan
Page 1 of 10

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dynamo Makhachkala 32 25 5 2 62:12 80
2 SKA Rostov-on-Don 32 24 4 4 71:22 76
3 FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye 32 21 7 4 88:24 70
4 Forte Taganrog 32 17 10 5 55:31 61
5 Chernomorets Novorossijsk 32 18 6 8 70:35 60
6 Kuban Kholding 32 15 9 8 46:31 54
7 Legion Makhachkala 32 12 10 10 44:31 46
8 Biolog 32 11 11 10 50:45 44
9 Anzhi 32 13 9 10 46:35 42
10 Spartak Nalchik 32 10 10 12 32:28 40
11 Maykop 32 7 11 14 25:44 32
12 Mashuk 32 7 10 15 47:54 31
13 Dynamo Stavropol 32 7 8 17 40:57 29
14 Tuapse 32 12 2 18 36:60 29
15 R. Volgograd 2 32 5 6 21 26:74 21
16 Alania 2 32 2 6 24 32:97 12
17 Yessentuki 32 2 4 26 16:106 10
Promotion - FNL 2022/2023 (Main)