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Tuapse vs Forte Taganrog

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Group 1 2021/2022
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Magomedov R.
26'
Solomatin P.
28'
Pashtov R.

AI Match Summary

The FNL 2 - Group 1 2021/2022 game between Tuapse and Forte Taganrog finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Forte Taganrog.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Tuapse
20%
Draws
32%
Forte Taganrog
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Tuapse

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Forte Taganrog come out ahead of Tuapse on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular FNL 2 - Group 1 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Forte Taganrog have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Tuapse Clean Sheet 20%
Forte Taganrog Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tuapse Forte Taganrog
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 11 15
Draws 2 6
Losses 17 11
Goals Scored 1.13 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.97 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2022 FNL 2 - Group 1
Tuapse vs Forte Taganrog
0:3
Aug 29, 2021 FNL 2 - Group 1
Forte Taganrog vs Tuapse
3:0
Mar 29, 2021 FNL 2 - Group 1
Tuapse vs Forte Taganrog
0:6
Sep 6, 2020 FNL 2 - Group 1
Forte Taganrog vs Tuapse
6:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tuapse Compare

Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Forte Taganrog Compare

Top Goalscorer Magomedov R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Okhrimenko E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tuapse 32 / 100
Forte Taganrog 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tuapse Forte Taganrog

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.50 goals per match.

Forte Taganrog has conceded goals in 72% of their last 32 outings.

Away concern: Forte Taganrog has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Tuapse found the back of the net in 47% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

- VS Forte Taganrog
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Tuapse

(Home)
05 Jun
FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye
5 : 0
Tuapse
30 May
Tuapse
0 : 4
Spartak Nalchik
22 May
Mashuk
1 : 3
Tuapse
16 May
Tuapse
0 : 5
Legion Makhachkala
12 May
Biolog
1 : 0
Tuapse
Page 1 of 6

Forte Taganrog

(Away)
15 Jun
FC Murom
3 : 1
Forte Taganrog
07 Jun
Forte Taganrog
2 : 3
Kirov
31 May
Sibir Novosibirsk
2 : 2
Forte Taganrog
25 May
Kaluga
2 : 0
Forte Taganrog
21 May
Forte Taganrog
0 : 0
Irtysh Omsk
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dynamo Makhachkala 32 25 5 2 62:12 80
2 SKA Rostov-on-Don 32 24 4 4 71:22 76
3 FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye 32 21 7 4 88:24 70
4 Forte Taganrog 32 17 10 5 55:31 61
5 Chernomorets Novorossijsk 32 18 6 8 70:35 60
6 Kuban Kholding 32 15 9 8 46:31 54
7 Legion Makhachkala 32 12 10 10 44:31 46
8 Biolog 32 11 11 10 50:45 44
9 Anzhi 32 13 9 10 46:35 42
10 Spartak Nalchik 32 10 10 12 32:28 40
11 Maykop 32 7 11 14 25:44 32
12 Mashuk 32 7 10 15 47:54 31
13 Dynamo Stavropol 32 7 8 17 40:57 29
14 Tuapse 32 12 2 18 36:60 29
15 R. Volgograd 2 32 5 6 21 26:74 21
16 Alania 2 32 2 6 24 32:97 12
17 Yessentuki 32 2 4 26 16:106 10
Promotion - FNL 2022/2023 (Main)