Sport Picks
Match Events
13'
13'
Patsekin P.
46'
46'
Sub
Zaporozhtsev I. In: Kambolov Z.
Out: Zaporozhtsev I.
46'
46'
Sub
Patsekin P. In: Khannanov A.
Out: Patsekin P.
AI Match Summary
Legion Makhachkala in this FNL 2 - Group 1 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 0-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Legion Makhachkala.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
28%
15%
57%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Legion Makhachkala
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Tuapse have won more games recently than Legion Makhachkala.
- Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Legion Makhachkala have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Tuapse Clean Sheet 19%
Legion Makhachkala Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Tuapse | Legion Makhachkala |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 33 |
| Wins | 11 | 10 |
| Draws | 2 | 8 |
| Losses | 17 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.13 | 1.18 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.97 | 1.82 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.73 | 1.24 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 16, 2022 FNL 2 - Group 1
Tuapse vs Legion Makhachkala
0:5
Feb 5, 2022 Club Friendly
Tuapse vs Legion Makhachkala
0:2
Oct 23, 2021 FNL 2 - Group 1
Legion Makhachkala vs Tuapse
0:1
Apr 15, 2021 FNL 2 - Group 1
Legion Makhachkala vs Tuapse
7:2
Sep 27, 2020 FNL 2 - Group 1
Tuapse vs Legion Makhachkala
0:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Tuapse Compare
Avg xG / game 1.33
Avg xA / game 0.86
Legion Makhachkala Compare
Top Goalscorer Panaev A.
2 Goals Assists Leader Shikhayev R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.13
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Tuapse 36 / 100
Legion Makhachkala 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Tuapse Legion Makhachkala
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Legion Makhachkala Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.
Legion Makhachkala has conceded goals in 76% of their last 33 outings.
Legion Makhachkala's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Tuapse scored in 47% of their last 30 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS Legion Makhachkala
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 2.25
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Tuapse
(Home) 05 Jun
FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye
5 : 0 Tuapse
30 May
Tuapse
0 : 4 Spartak Nalchik
22 May
Mashuk
1 : 3 Tuapse
16 May
Tuapse
0 : 5 Legion Makhachkala
12 May
Biolog
1 : 0 Tuapse
Page 1 of 6
30 May
Tuapse
0 : 4 Spartak Nalchik
16 May
Tuapse
0 : 5 Legion Makhachkala
06 May
Tuapse
3 : 0 Yessentuki
22 Apr
Tuapse
2 : 1 Dynamo Stavropol
04 Apr
Tuapse
4 : 1 R. Volgograd 2
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Legion Makhachkala
(Away) 01 Nov
Legion Makhachkala
1 : 0 Astrakhan
25 Oct
Maykop
3 : 0 Legion Makhachkala
18 Oct
Legion Makhachkala
2 : 1 Sochi 2
11 Oct
Spartak Nalchik
4 : 0 Legion Makhachkala
05 Oct
Legion Makhachkala
1 : 3 Angust Nazran
Page 1 of 7
25 Oct
Maykop
3 : 0 Legion Makhachkala
11 Oct
Spartak Nalchik
4 : 0 Legion Makhachkala
28 Sept
Dynamo Makhachkala 2
2 : 2 Legion Makhachkala
20 Sept
Rubin Yalta
3 : 1 Legion Makhachkala
09 Sept
Astrakhan
5 : 2 Legion Makhachkala
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 32 | 25 | 5 | 2 | 62:12 | 80 |
| 2 | SKA Rostov-on-Don | 32 | 24 | 4 | 4 | 71:22 | 76 |
| 3 | FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye | 32 | 21 | 7 | 4 | 88:24 | 70 |
| 4 | Forte Taganrog | 32 | 17 | 10 | 5 | 55:31 | 61 |
| 5 | Chernomorets Novorossijsk | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 70:35 | 60 |
| 6 | Kuban Kholding | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 46:31 | 54 |
| 7 | Legion Makhachkala | 32 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 44:31 | 46 |
| 8 | Biolog | 32 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 50:45 | 44 |
| 9 | Anzhi | 32 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 46:35 | 42 |
| 10 | Spartak Nalchik | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 32:28 | 40 |
| 11 | Maykop | 32 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 25:44 | 32 |
| 12 | Mashuk | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 47:54 | 31 |
| 13 | Dynamo Stavropol | 32 | 7 | 8 | 17 | 40:57 | 29 |
| 14 | Tuapse | 32 | 12 | 2 | 18 | 36:60 | 29 |
| 15 | R. Volgograd 2 | 32 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 26:74 | 21 |
| 16 | Alania 2 | 32 | 2 | 6 | 24 | 32:97 | 12 |
| 17 | Yessentuki | 32 | 2 | 4 | 26 | 16:106 | 10 |
Promotion - FNL 2022/2023 (Main)
