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Tuapse vs Yessentuki

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Group 1 2021/2022
Our Tip

Match Events

29'
Magomedov G.
29'
Danilin K.
31' Event
Solomatin P.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The FNL 2 - Group 1 2021/2022 game between Tuapse and Yessentuki finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tuapse.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Tuapse
15%
Draws
0%
Yessentuki
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tuapse

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Tuapse come out ahead of Yessentuki on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Tuapse's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular FNL 2 - Group 1 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
Tuapse Clean Sheet 20%
Yessentuki Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tuapse Yessentuki
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 11 1
Draws 2 4
Losses 17 29
Goals Scored 1.13 0.32
Goals Conceded 1.97 3.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.79 0.68
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 6, 2022 FNL 2 - Group 1
Tuapse vs Yessentuki
3:0
Oct 11, 2021 FNL 2 - Group 1
Yessentuki vs Tuapse
1:4
May 4, 2021 FNL 2 - Group 1
Tuapse vs Yessentuki
2:0
Feb 20, 2021 Club Friendly
Yessentuki vs Tuapse
4:2
Oct 19, 2020 FNL 2 - Group 1
Yessentuki vs Tuapse
4:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tuapse Compare

Top Goalscorer Rudenko V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Zaporozhtsev I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.38
Avg xA / game 0.9

Yessentuki Compare

Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tuapse 85 / 100
Yessentuki 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tuapse Yessentuki

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tuapse Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Yessentuki's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 31 matches.

H2H data points to 4.80 goals as a typical output.

Yessentuki lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Tuapse found the back of the net in 47% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

- VS Yessentuki
0 Goals Scored 0.25
0 Goals Conceded 2.38
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Tuapse

(Home)
05 Jun
FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye
5 : 0
Tuapse
30 May
Tuapse
0 : 4
Spartak Nalchik
22 May
Mashuk
1 : 3
Tuapse
16 May
Tuapse
0 : 5
Legion Makhachkala
12 May
Biolog
1 : 0
Tuapse
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Yessentuki

(Away)
29 Apr
Yessentuki
:
Biolog
22 Apr
R. Volgograd
:
Yessentuki
14 Apr
Yessentuki
:
Spartak Nalchik
08 Apr
Forte Taganrog
15 : 0
Yessentuki
31 Mar
Yessentuki
0 : 3
Mashuk
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dynamo Makhachkala 32 25 5 2 62:12 80
2 SKA Rostov-on-Don 32 24 4 4 71:22 76
3 FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye 32 21 7 4 88:24 70
4 Forte Taganrog 32 17 10 5 55:31 61
5 Chernomorets Novorossijsk 32 18 6 8 70:35 60
6 Kuban Kholding 32 15 9 8 46:31 54
7 Legion Makhachkala 32 12 10 10 44:31 46
8 Biolog 32 11 11 10 50:45 44
9 Anzhi 32 13 9 10 46:35 42
10 Spartak Nalchik 32 10 10 12 32:28 40
11 Maykop 32 7 11 14 25:44 32
12 Mashuk 32 7 10 15 47:54 31
13 Dynamo Stavropol 32 7 8 17 40:57 29
14 Tuapse 32 12 2 18 36:60 29
15 R. Volgograd 2 32 5 6 21 26:74 21
16 Alania 2 32 2 6 24 32:97 12
17 Yessentuki 32 2 4 26 16:106 10
Promotion - FNL 2022/2023 (Main)