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Stadium Background

Tubarao vs Blumenau

Brazil Brazil

Catarinense 2
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Joao Bezerra
16' Event
Dos Santos M. V.
58' Event
Wellisson

AI Match Summary

The Catarinense 2 game between Tubarao and Blumenau finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Blumenau.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Tubarao
20%
Draws
80%
Blumenau
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Blumenau

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Tubarao haven't matched Blumenau's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Blumenau's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 93%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Tubarao Clean Sheet 16%
Blumenau Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tubarao Blumenau
Matches Played 32 37
Wins 10 16
Draws 8 9
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1.19 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.22 0.89
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.48
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 17, 2026 Catarinense 2
Tubarao vs Blumenau
2:3
Apr 21, 2026 Catarinense 2
Blumenau vs Tubarao
0:0
Oct 26, 2025 Copa Santa Catarina
Blumenau vs Tubarao
3:1
Oct 19, 2025 Copa Santa Catarina
Tubarao vs Blumenau
0:1
Jun 15, 2025 Catarinense 2
Tubarao vs Blumenau
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tubarao Compare

Top Goalscorer Dos Santos M. V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Junior Santos
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Blumenau Compare

Top Goalscorer Joao Bezerra
1 Goals
Assists Leader Wellisson
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.82

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tubarao 23 / 100
Blumenau 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tubarao Blumenau

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Blumenau Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Tubarao scored in 63% of their last 32 outings.

Blumenau let in goals in 70% of their last 37 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Blumenau registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tubarao VS Blumenau
1.14 Goals Scored 1.38
1.57 Goals Conceded 1.25
86% Over 1.5 100%
57% Over 2.5 38%
14% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Tubarao

(Home)
25 Jul
Tubarao
0 : 2
Guarani de Palhoca
22 Jul
Fluminense-SC
2 : 1
Tubarao
19 Jul
Tubarao
0 : 2
Hercilio Luz
15 Jul
Caravaggio
2 : 1
Tubarao
12 Jul
Tubarao
2 : 3
CA Metropolitano
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Blumenau

(Away)
26 Sept
Blumenau
1 : 1
Marcilio Dias
19 Sept
Blumenau
0 : 1
CA Metropolitano
15 Sept
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
2 : 2
Blumenau
05 Sept
Joinville
1 : 0
Blumenau
29 Aug
Blumenau
0 : 1
Santa Catarina
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hercilio Luz 18 13 3 2 35:10 42
2 CA Metropolitano 18 12 2 4 36:18 38
3 Caravaggio 18 10 5 3 47:20 35
4 Blumenau 18 9 4 5 35:15 31
5 Tubarao 18 6 5 7 23:21 23
6 Guarani de Palhoca 18 6 5 7 24:24 23
7 Nacao 18 5 6 7 19:26 21
8 Fluminense-SC 18 6 3 9 16:25 21
9 Gremio Juventus 18 5 2 11 17:26 17
10 Jaragua-SC 18 0 1 17 6:73 1
Promotion - Catarinense 2027 (Main)
Relegation - Catarinense 3 2027 (Main)