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Tubarao vs CA Metropolitano

Brazil Brazil

Catarinense 2
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Gui Nascimento
18' Event
Cristiano
55' Event
Franklin

AI Match Summary

CA Metropolitano in this Catarinense 2 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored CA Metropolitano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Tubarao
28%
Draws
22%
CA Metropolitano
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Tubarao

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • CA Metropolitano have won more games recently than Tubarao.
  • Tubarao are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Tubarao Clean Sheet 68%
CA Metropolitano Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tubarao CA Metropolitano
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 11 15
Draws 9 8
Losses 14 7
Goals Scored 1.75 2.25
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2026 Catarinense 2
Tubarao vs CA Metropolitano
2:3
May 17, 2026 Catarinense 2
CA Metropolitano vs Tubarao
0:1
Aug 3, 2025 Catarinense 2
CA Metropolitano vs Tubarao
2:0
Jul 31, 2025 Catarinense 2
Tubarao vs CA Metropolitano
0:0
Jun 8, 2025 Catarinense 2
Tubarao vs CA Metropolitano
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tubarao Compare

Top Goalscorer Gui Nascimento
1 Goals
Assists Leader Franklin
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

CA Metropolitano Compare

Top Goalscorer Cristiano
1 Goals
Assists Leader Odivan
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tubarao 59 / 100
CA Metropolitano 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tubarao CA Metropolitano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TUB Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tubarao scored in 65% of their last 34 games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

CA Metropolitano has conceded goals in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Tubarao stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tubarao VS CA Metropolitano
1.75 Goals Scored 2.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Tubarao

(Home)
22 Jul
Fluminense-SC
2 : 1
Tubarao
19 Jul
Tubarao
0 : 2
Hercilio Luz
15 Jul
Caravaggio
2 : 1
Tubarao
12 Jul
Tubarao
2 : 3
CA Metropolitano
05 Jul
Tubarao
1 : 0
Nacao
Page 1 of 7

CA Metropolitano

(Away)
22 Jul
Gremio Juventus
0 : 2
CA Metropolitano
18 Jul
CA Metropolitano
6 : 1
Jaragua-SC
15 Jul
Blumenau
4 : 1
CA Metropolitano
12 Jul
Tubarao
2 : 3
CA Metropolitano
05 Jul
CA Metropolitano
2 : 1
Caravaggio
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Hercilio Luz17123233:939
2CA Metropolitano17112433:1835
3Caravaggio1795344:1932
4Blumenau1784532:1528
5Tubarao1765623:1923
6Nacao1756618:2421
7Fluminense-SC1763816:2221
8Guarani de Palhoca1755722:2420
9Gremio Juventus17521016:2317
10Jaragua-SC1701166:701
Promotion - Catarinense 2027 (Main)
Relegation - Catarinense 3 2027 (Main)