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Tubarao vs Caravaggio

Brazil Brazil

Catarinense 2
Tubarao Logo

Tubarao

2 - 2
FT
Caravaggio Logo

Caravaggio

Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Evaristo
29' Event
Luam Parede
64'
Rodrigues R.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Catarinense 2 game between Tubarao and Caravaggio finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Tubarao
20%
Draws
80%
Caravaggio
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Caravaggio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Caravaggio come out ahead of Tubarao on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Caravaggio's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Catarinense 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Tubarao Clean Sheet 10%
Caravaggio Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tubarao Caravaggio
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 10 14
Draws 8 6
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 1.15 1.87
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 15, 2026 Catarinense 2
Caravaggio vs Tubarao
2:1
May 24, 2026 Catarinense 2
Tubarao vs Caravaggio
2:2
Oct 5, 2025 Copa Santa Catarina
Caravaggio vs Tubarao
0:3
Sep 14, 2025 Copa Santa Catarina
Tubarao vs Caravaggio
1:2
Jul 14, 2024 Catarinense 2
Tubarao vs Caravaggio
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tubarao Compare

Top Goalscorer Luam Parede
1 Goals
Assists Leader Filho E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Caravaggio Compare

Top Goalscorer Evaristo
1 Goals
Assists Leader Eduardo Junior
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tubarao 10 / 100
Caravaggio 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tubarao Caravaggio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Caravaggio Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Tubarao scored in 61% of their last 33 games.

Caravaggio has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Tubarao VS Caravaggio
1.63 Goals Scored 2.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Tubarao

(Home)
25 Jul
Tubarao
0 : 2
Guarani de Palhoca
22 Jul
Fluminense-SC
2 : 1
Tubarao
19 Jul
Tubarao
0 : 2
Hercilio Luz
15 Jul
Caravaggio
2 : 1
Tubarao
12 Jul
Tubarao
2 : 3
CA Metropolitano
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Caravaggio

(Away)
25 Jul
Caravaggio
3 : 1
Gremio Juventus
22 Jul
Hercilio Luz
0 : 0
Caravaggio
18 Jul
Nacao
2 : 2
Caravaggio
15 Jul
Caravaggio
2 : 1
Tubarao
12 Jul
Caravaggio
9 : 0
Jaragua-SC
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hercilio Luz 18 13 3 2 35:10 42
2 CA Metropolitano 18 12 2 4 36:18 38
3 Caravaggio 18 10 5 3 47:20 35
4 Blumenau 18 9 4 5 35:15 31
5 Tubarao 18 6 5 7 23:21 23
6 Guarani de Palhoca 18 6 5 7 24:24 23
7 Nacao 18 5 6 7 19:26 21
8 Fluminense-SC 18 6 3 9 16:25 21
9 Gremio Juventus 18 5 2 11 17:26 17
10 Jaragua-SC 18 0 1 17 6:73 1
Promotion - Catarinense 2027 (Main)
Relegation - Catarinense 3 2027 (Main)